
TSE:NFI
This summary was created by AI, based on 6 opinions in the last 12 months.
New Flyer Industries Inc. (NFI-T) is seen by experts as a solid investment opportunity, particularly due to its strong backlog and reduced competition in the transit bus manufacturing industry. Although the company has faced supply chain challenges and production delays, particularly related to battery recalls, there is optimism that these issues are becoming manageable. Analysts note the importance of patience, as the backlog is expected to lead to significant profitability in the future. The stock is viewed as undervalued during current market conditions, particularly in the face of recent tax-loss selling, which experts believe has unfairly punished the company. Additionally, the public funding for transit services remains strong, and the company is uniquely positioned to benefit from emerging market demands, especially in electric buses.
He took a look at this, but did a pass on it. Has had a phenomenal run in the last 5 years. Just did a big acquisition of a coach manufacturer. Q4 numbers in March were great. The question is, how much is really baked in at this time. On top of that, there is the integration risk of a large acquisition. He would be a little cautious.
This has had a great run, but thinks that there is a lot left in it. Just made an acquisition of MCI, the coach business, so there is some synergy and growth there. As well, they have really been working on the parts business. Their parts business has been 10% of their revenue and is now in the 25% area. Dividend yield of 1.89%.
(Top Pick April 28/15, Up 142.68%) They merged with a cross town rival and are now into motor coaches. They also fixed inventory. They also made another international acquisition. Almost $5 million in backlog. Margins have started to go up and free cash flow is starting to accelerate. There may be a period where we see how they digest their acquisitions. He would not rush into it with more money just yet.
STB-T vs. NFI-T. He likes STB-T, but prefers NFI-T. NFI-T has become a great little growth company. STB-T has a very high payout ratio. He is comfortable that they are steady enough in business that they can maintain it. It is more likely that NFI-T raises the dividend in a couple of years than STB-T holding it steady.
(A Top Pick Jan 7/15. Up 121.73%.) Has been doing transformational acquisitions over the last several years. Bought North American Bus Industry first, then the parts business from Orion. More recently bought the Motor Coach Industries, which exposes them to intercity transport buses. Thinks there will be some degree of synergies, but not as much as people might think. Where they may have more synergies are in the acquisition of parts and inventory maintenance. Trading at over 20X earnings, so is not buying any more. If it got into the mid-$30 fairly quickly, he would consider selling some of it.