TSE:NFI

New Flyer Industries Inc. (NFI.TO)

22.34
+0.02 (0.09%)
as of Jun 8, 2026, 7:55:49 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 7, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 6 opinions in the last 12 months.

New Flyer Industries Inc. (NFI-T) is seen by experts as a solid investment opportunity, particularly due to its strong backlog and reduced competition in the transit bus manufacturing industry. Although the company has faced supply chain challenges and production delays, particularly related to battery recalls, there is optimism that these issues are becoming manageable. Analysts note the importance of patience, as the backlog is expected to lead to significant profitability in the future. The stock is viewed as undervalued during current market conditions, particularly in the face of recent tax-loss selling, which experts believe has unfairly punished the company. Additionally, the public funding for transit services remains strong, and the company is uniquely positioned to benefit from emerging market demands, especially in electric buses.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Undervalued
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BYD,1211
TOP PICK
He never understood its run-up or why investors are abandoning it now. It's off 50% from its high, yet are increasing its dividend, trades at 10x earnings, and pays a 5.1% dividend. The rapid urbanization of North American is a tailwind, and governments are buying zero-emisson buses that NFI builds. (Analysts’ price target is $42.63)
DON'T BUY
We had a short on it last fall. At the time, he thought the valuation was rich. They missed two straight quarters last year, but they are better shape now. He doesn't see much growth here in this sector. Also, there's lots of competition; they lost some bus contracts.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 17/18, Down 41%) They had challenges that spooked investors. He thinks it is cheap at 9 times earnings and does not feel the dividend of over 5% is at risk. He will continue to hold it. It is cheap here.
DON'T BUY
Their back orders are down, but isn't totally sure why it's taking such a hit. Don't buy until it breaks out. OK yield and top management. He likes it and is waiting to enter it. It needs to build a base then breakout.
COMMENT
The issue is that the stock ran up on valuation and came off with cyclical stocks. He would prefer LNR-T but both will recover over the next couple of years.
DON'T BUY
It was a hot company. Their balance sheet worsened as sales slowed.
BUY
Leaders in North America. Ridiculously cheap. Management's done a great job over the years. Institutional managers have been bailing because growth has slowed. Value investors are slowly coming in. Hang on at this price. He'd invest at these prices. Really good dividend, huge buybacks. Basically an oligopoly. Steady business over the long run, though lumpy between quarters.
TOP PICK
They've missed guidance in recent quarters and has come off, but there's now support at $30. You can trade it around $35 or hold to the mid-$40s. This won't turn around quickly, because of tariff issues. They have a good backlog and track record. (Analysts’ price target is $43.00)
DON'T BUY
It was a darling for a while, and is now off quite a bit (it's halved to $30). They make buses, so once you sell them, you must wait for cities to order more. They need to show one or two quarters of growth for this to rise to the high-$30s.
TOP PICK
They have been so aggressive at moving toward hybrid and electric busses. Municipal governments want to cut costs and meet climate goals. They are more interested in low carbon transit options. He is thrilled to see them moving so far ahead with hybrid and electric busses. It can do well. The city of Toronto just bought a bunch of these busses. (Analysts’ price target is $48.14)
DON'T BUY

It was a high-flyer a few years ago. They've increase their dividend. The bus market has been challenged. Most of their clients are US cities which can't go into deficits, so that hits NFI's orders.

DON'T BUY
NFI has pulled back for some time over concerns of a slowing US economy. Buses are a mature sector, too. They bought a company to source the after-market, but that resulted in soft earnings.
BUY
It's taken quite a dip recently after a good run-up. Now, it's a buy. He follows it. The multiple has fallen to a reasonable level. Nothing hugely negative has hit them. Good operators.
DON'T BUY

Sold it last summer because he felt the bus cycle ended in early 2018. A flag was NFI's bad Q1-2018. There were lower orders. Busses are in long, multi-year cycles. The 4% yield is decent which you can collect on its own. The stock has probably bottomed, but the stock (and cycle) won't rise for a year or even two.

DON'T BUY

This bus manufacturer also has a service offering as well. There had been fears that a slowdown in the US economy would hurt orders. She does not see a compelling reason to own this as the earnings are not defensible.

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