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TSE:NA
This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.
National Bank of Canada (NA) is viewed positively by experts, emphasizing its strategic focus on wealth management and capital markets, particularly following its acquisition of Canadian Western Bank. The bank's consistent performance, alongside a strong return on equity (ROE) and recurring high fees, positions it as a long-term compounder. Despite concerns regarding potential economic downturns and high valuations across the banking sector, many analysts predict double-digit earnings growth and a favorable annual return of around 10%. The bank's ability to cross-sell services thanks to its national presence further enhances its growth prospects, making it a compelling candidate for both new and existing investors. Overall, analysts maintain a cautious optimism about the bank's future, fostering a positive outlook amidst market volatility.
One of the least favoured banks out there. There is a perception that exposure to oil loans is the highest on the street. She doesn’t think the numbers bear this out. This bank has a large proportion of their earnings out of trading, so analysts don’t give it the same kind of a multiple as retail banking. Thinks the dividend of about 6% is sustainable.
Everybody is worried about this bank because of energy loans. They were big lenders to the energy patch over the last couple of years, particularly the midsize and the juniors. He still has confidence they have protected themselves and loaned fairly well. Valuation of the banks is on the level we saw in 2008-2009. Doesn’t expect you will see a big significant write-down.
Just did an equity raise, because of their Maple bank that got shut down in Germany recently, where they took a loss. Thinks the market got a little too fussed about that, as it is not too material for this bank. Just over 7X PE. 5.8% dividend yield. A good stable company that is not going anywhere.
Had some difficulty in the last little while. Their Maple division was closed down by the German government. Also, had to do a big share issue. Has become very good at becoming much more of a Canadian bank, rather than just a Québec bank. Trades at about 7X earnings and 1.27X Book. Very good dividend yield. Management has been very clear on their issues. In the Canadian banks, you have to look at what loan losses are going to look like and any exposure to Calgary. However, buying banks at these levels makes a lot of sense.
Has one of the best yields in the group at 5.4%. In terms of Price to Book it is trading on the lower side. Exposure to the oil sector is a lot stronger than it was 3-4 years ago, but they have been doing well in wealth management, capital markets, etc. A strong capital ratio that is up with the rest of them. Recently increased their dividend.
Not a big fan of Canadian banks and only owns Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T), but has cut back on this as well. Canadian banks are vulnerable to a number of issues. This bank in particular has a bigger than average exposure to the energy patch. Canadian banks have headwinds as far as loan exposure to the housing market, consumers and the energy patch. Still too early.
Loves all the Canadian banks. They have recovered in the last few days, which is great to see. Market was pricing in a financial crisis just as bad as 2008, but we are not in a financial crisis. We are concerned with what is going on in oil and with housing prices, but so far these have not materialized on the balance sheets, and the banks keep telling us that they are stress testing and are seeing rising loan losses, but it is not going to be that bad.
CM-T vs. NA-T. CM-T has better value. Is concerned about NA-T’s exposure to the oil patch. CM-T has concentrated more on the retail customer. He does not think we have seen all of the repercussions of low oil prices. The US banks are cheaper, but the currency is more expensive and you get the dividend tax credit on Canadian banks.
Feels the yield is certainly sustainable. Payout ratio is around 50% so wouldn’t worry from a dividend point of view. Probably the only bank among the larger ones that has tested its 52 week lows already. Quite often that is a good place to be looking to buy. This year people are going to be more worried about loan losses in the banks, particularly if interest rates start to get pulled up. On valuation he thinks the banks are pretty good investments longer-term.
6% yield and about 50% payout ratio. This has been punished more than it should have been. This is not one of his top bank picks, but with the yield, it is attractive.