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TSE:NA
This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts have a generally positive outlook on the National Bank of Canada (NA), highlighting its strong focus on wealth management and capital markets, which have proven lucrative amid market volatility. Analysts appreciate the bank's recent acquisitions, particularly that of Canadian Western Bank, which enhances its national presence and cross-selling opportunities. Despite a backdrop of economic concerns including high P/E ratios and the potential for a recession or credit cycle, many believe NA is well-positioned for long-term growth with expected double-digit earnings growth and a possible increase in dividends. Overall, while there are cautionary notes regarding high valuations and market conditions, the sentiment leans towards viewing NA as a strong player in the Canadian banking sector with a strong potential for continued profitability.
This has been a dog compared to some of the other financials, and is not a space that looks stellar. There is a little bit of a base being built currently. If it breaks down to the $37 level, there may be something that we don’t know. Doesn’t see a huge catalyst to the upside right now. Dividend yield of 5.2%.
Most banks in Canada have little underlying oil exposure (3% of total loan book). Their energy debt is more connected with larger companies. Earnings and ROEs have been compressed because of corporate and personal loan growth. The BOC could cut rates and that would cut net interest income from the Canadian banks. In 2016, multiple expansion will be constrained in Canada and he thinks there will be better entry points into banks next year. He prefers names with US exposure. NA-T is well capitalized, however.
Energy concerns have impacted the group. This is less exposed to that geography, but they tend to be more capital markets based. In this past quarter, capital activity has not been as strong. This bank tends to be more capital market sensitive, so lower multiples are generally assigned to companies like this. Her preference is for the banks that have some non-Canadian exposure.
Loves this bank. It was the best performer coming out of the 2008 recession. It was the fastest dividend grower and had the best earnings growth because of its exposure to wealth management and capital markets. This year not so much. It had some trouble with write-downs. It was a surprise that they had assets in Germany.
All the Canadian banks have come under a lot of pressure, but this one has the most exposure, pound for pound, to energy. He is not sure that all the energy exposure has really been priced into the banks. A lot of companies have hedged their energy prices up higher, and those hedges still haven’t rolled off yet. This will be under energy related pressure for at least 6 months.
They are the cheapest of the group because they appear not to have a national platform, even though they do. They are at 1.4 times book value, so are cheap relative to others. The impairments from out west will be minimal. Over the short term it should either hold up with the others or do better.