Opinions
Michael Sprung
Magna Int'l. (A)
MG-T
HOLD
Jan 08, 2020
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Very hesitant. Recent recovery has been sharp and quick, almost as though it's factoring in abolition of tariffs completely. We need more clarity on tariffs. Auto industry is highly cyclical and depends on health of the economy, and we're seeing signs of weakening.
If you own it, don't need the cash, and have a 5-10 year time horizon, you should be fine. But there could be further weakness from here.
We are living in a strange world where Tesla has a higher market cap than GM. There has been a stall in new car sales globally, especially in China where sales declined. He thinks all the parts manufacturers will suffer to a degree. Magna will be a survivor and will make the transition into electric cars going forward. He would not hesitate to own it for the long term. He does not own it presently.