Stock price when the opinion was issued
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Very hesitant. Recent recovery has been sharp and quick, almost as though it's factoring in abolition of tariffs completely. We need more clarity on tariffs. Auto industry is highly cyclical and depends on health of the economy, and we're seeing signs of weakening.
If you own it, don't need the cash, and have a 5-10 year time horizon, you should be fine. But there could be further weakness from here.
This is a stock that is in the late stage cycle, and generally you don’t own consumer stocks. Industrial products is probably where you want to be. One of the fears is that a lot of car loans are going to go bad in this cycle. Some of the loans go 6-7 years, and by that time, the car is not worth anything. Last quarter, the margins looked a little healthier in Europe. A great company, but it’s just the wrong stage of the cycle.