Stock price when the opinion was issued
Don't yet know how things are going to shake out. Rhetoric is at an all-time high. Short term, it's impacting our economy because the US is our largest trading partner. Reality is that there's a lot of value-added auto manufacturing in both Canada and US; the 2 countries are inextricably linked. Tariffs will be punitive for both Canada and the US.
Hope is not an investment strategy, but we have to hope that rational heads can prevail so that there continues to be a steady flow of goods across our borders.
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Reasonably cheap. The multiples are in the mid-single digits on EBITDA. Even the PE is quite low. The concern is US car sales, which have been very strong in the past few years, but now toppy and looking like they have reached the maximum and the recovery is over. There is concern they will roll over. It could be interesting because they have a couple of new programs with car manufacturers that are coming online in the next few quarters. That could drive revenue growth on top of the natural growth. From that perspective, this could be interesting to own.