Magna Int'l. (A)MG.TOCOMMENTJan 28, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
In 2021, they invested heavily in EV, but the demand didn't materialize. Since then, they've suffered that overhang, plus the impact of tariffs. But they fixed these problems with Chinese OEMs and have gained market share in smart door handles and driverless systems. Are gaining market share. Doing a great job.
Very hesitant. Recent recovery has been sharp and quick, almost as though it's factoring in abolition of tariffs completely. We need more clarity on tariffs. Auto industry is highly cyclical and depends on health of the economy, and we're seeing signs of weakening.
If you own it, don't need the cash, and have a 5-10 year time horizon, you should be fine. But there could be further weakness from here.
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Don't yet know how things are going to shake out. Rhetoric is at an all-time high. Short term, it's impacting our economy because the US is our largest trading partner. Reality is that there's a lot of value-added auto manufacturing in both Canada and US; the 2 countries are inextricably linked. Tariffs will be punitive for both Canada and the US.
Hope is not an investment strategy, but we have to hope that rational heads can prevail so that there continues to be a steady flow of goods across our borders.
Should you buy a long-term Hold right on the 200 day moving average if possible? If it breaks below the 200 day, should you Sell? All tools, like the 200 day moving average, are indicators. Often moving averages are broken temporarily. This doesn’t necessarily mean the end of a trend but is something that used definitely should pay attention to. If you have a series of higher highs and higher lows suddenly being reversed and the 200 day moving average is broken and maybe the fundamentals came out with lousy earnings or something, when all those ducks line up, then you Sell. This stock had a gigantic move recently and is probably still above its 200 day moving average.