
TSE:MFC
The chart had a decent upward move from October to early March, but has fallen since. Has now returned to its $24 December base. Is widely held by large institutions and pension funds. More than other insurers, MFC is so tied to the S&P. $24 is good to buy, but if that breaks, MFC could fall to $20.
Believes shares presenting good buying opportunity with fallout from Silicon Valley Bank.
Strong management with large asset base (over $1.3 Trillion).
Higher interest rates are beneficial for insurance companies.
Aging global population will generate demand for wealth management services.
Trading at discount to net book value.
Paying ~5.9% dividend yield that is secure.
He's been taking some money out on earnings trepidation in Asian operations. Had a really good run. He's been adding to bank stocks, and TD is at the top of the list with its US acquisition still being finalized. MFC was trading at 8x PE with a 5% yield, whereas TD is more expensive. TD has more growth potential.
Recent results were a little better than expected. They have fits and starts, but never breaks through $30--that's their problem. Until then, sell at the top of the range and buy at the bottom. Trades at a cheap PE, cheaper than the other lifecos and banks. Pays a high dividend. They have a big presence across Asia, which is a secular growth driver, but China's reopen won't have that much impact. Holding them back is exposure in liabilities in the U.S. , though they have been selling off some of them. Would rather sell than buy it right now.
Still likes this value play. Outperforming the TSX since last May. Higher rates is a tailwind for insurers. Is reducing exposure to riskier long-term care insurance and variable annuities while and increasing exposure to Asia (55% of their revenues). China is exiting Covid and its middle class is growing. Pays a 5% dividend and trading at a cheap 1x price to book.
A former top pick and he still owns it. Can understand frustration of shareholders. Shares have been edging up a but. The lifecos will return in a week or two. As China gets out of lockdown, those sales will pick up. Meanwhile, MFC is trading at a good valuation and the dividend is a good 5%. Get used to a big accounting change in lifecos that will change numbers, but that doesn't mean the underlying business has changed.
Our PAST TOP PICK with MFC is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $21) to $24 at this time.