
TSE:MFC
Growth continues to be limited. The shares have been rangebound between $20-30 for many years. Fundamentals are merely okay. Their footprint is mostly in Canada with an insurance business in the US, plus the Asian division and wealth management. The latter two businesses are doing well and enjoy growth, but Canada offers flat growth because insurance here is fully mature. The US is a slow grind. Trades around 8x PE, which is cheap vs. peers and banks. Problem is flat growth. The dividend pays 6% but so does a bond. This is a show-me story.
MFC is now trading at 7.3x times the forward P/E. In the 3Q, MFC’s core EPS grew 35% to $0.92, beating estimates of $0.81. Core ROE is also quite healthy around 16.8%. The adjusted book value per share grew 4% to $30.67. The balance sheet is healthy, with long-term debt of $13B and long-term debt/equity stands at 0.21x. Overall, a solid quarter for MFC MFC has also ramped up share buybacks in recent quarters, which we like. One of the reasons we like SLF over MFC is due to its track record. SLF is more conservative in the way they run their business. For example, SLF did not have to cut its dividend in the financial crisis of 2008, while MFC did. It has, simply, proven more reliable over the past two decades. It is a bit more expensive, but we think the premium is justified.
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Doesn't own any lifecos, prefers P&C and banks. Dogged by US business divisions, trying to divest. Canadian business is a modest grower. Star is the Asian business, which is 1/3 of operations. Always trades in single digits, 5+% yield, never seems to get above $30. He's neutral. Sell if it gets to $30.
Interest rate sensitive business. Would recommend buying based on chart. Sees new highs going forward. Owns shares in portfolio. Chart looking great.