
TSE:MFC
This summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.
Manulife Financial (MFC) has garnered a mostly positive outlook among various experts, highlighting its competitive positioning within the Canadian financial sector, particularly in comparison to major banks like TD and SLF. Analysts note MFC's ongoing strength in wealth management and healthy growth prospects in Asia, although there are concerns regarding its current valuation, as it trades over 2x book value and exhibits only moderate earnings growth. Despite being classified as slightly overbought, its charts remain healthy, with many recommending caution yet seeing potential for growth in the long run. The company's strong dividend yield and management strategies, particularly in alternative investments, also contribute to a favorable long-term investment story, although short-term volatility may present opportunities for those willing to enter at lower price points.
Growth continues to be limited. The shares have been rangebound between $20-30 for many years. Fundamentals are merely okay. Their footprint is mostly in Canada with an insurance business in the US, plus the Asian division and wealth management. The latter two businesses are doing well and enjoy growth, but Canada offers flat growth because insurance here is fully mature. The US is a slow grind. Trades around 8x PE, which is cheap vs. peers and banks. Problem is flat growth. The dividend pays 6% but so does a bond. This is a show-me story.
MFC is now trading at 7.3x times the forward P/E. In the 3Q, MFC’s core EPS grew 35% to $0.92, beating estimates of $0.81. Core ROE is also quite healthy around 16.8%. The adjusted book value per share grew 4% to $30.67. The balance sheet is healthy, with long-term debt of $13B and long-term debt/equity stands at 0.21x. Overall, a solid quarter for MFC MFC has also ramped up share buybacks in recent quarters, which we like. One of the reasons we like SLF over MFC is due to its track record. SLF is more conservative in the way they run their business. For example, SLF did not have to cut its dividend in the financial crisis of 2008, while MFC did. It has, simply, proven more reliable over the past two decades. It is a bit more expensive, but we think the premium is justified.
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Doesn't own any lifecos, prefers P&C and banks. Dogged by US business divisions, trying to divest. Canadian business is a modest grower. Star is the Asian business, which is 1/3 of operations. Always trades in single digits, 5+% yield, never seems to get above $30. He's neutral. Sell if it gets to $30.
It is not trading above its 200 day moving average and has been at its consolidation level for a long time. Look for a breakout above $28. It is not a trading stock but one to buy and hold. It pays a decent dividend without big risks.