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TSE:MDA

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA.TO)

41.18
-1.44 (3.38%)
as of Aug 24, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
220 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 25, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 54 opinions in the last 12 months.

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA-T) is positioned in the growing space and defense industries, but has faced volatility and significant challenges, particularly with its loss of high-profile contracts like the one with EchoStar. While the company's new leadership is advocating for a pivot towards defense, some analysts express concerns over the sustainability of this transition due to underlying issues in the business. However, there is optimism surrounding significant upcoming opportunities, especially related to Canada's increasing military spending and a potential $40 billion pipeline for low-orbit satellites. Despite its volatile nature, MDA's strong backlog, order growth, and growing market for satellite operations suggest potential long-term value. Some experts caution that the company may be at risk of becoming a value trap, with better opportunities existing elsewhere in the sector.

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Consensus
Cautious
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Valuation
Fair Value
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 09/25, Down 10%)

(Note the short timeframe.)  His team are fairly active managers. When it lost EchoStar contract, he cut the position in half. Still amazing opportunities ahead. Nothing wrong with the company.

WAIT

On his watchlist. Chart shows a cup formation with a handle. Perfect. Then it went parabolic. Stock's gapped down. He thinks it'll pull back to old support near $30.

BUY

In early stages of space economy. MDA's products will be in demand for a long time. EchoStar news was a surprise, yet MDA continues to have a large backlog. Pulled back to 200-day MA, which it's done many times over last year and rallied off it. Opportunities are no less than they were. He'd buy here.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 15/24, Up 152%)

Exited a bit higher than today because valuation seemed frothy. He'd likely look at it again if price dropped into the $20s with a lower valuation. Likes the satellite space quite a bit.

BUY

Great Canadian company, likes it. Since the price drop due to cancelled contract, he's been doing more work on it. Great order backlog. It'll grow with the amount of money going into low earth orbit satellites and defense. Good time to pick up. Good way to play AI through space.

HOLD

Big hit on EchoStar, but it had nothing to do with MDA and everything to do with EchoStar changing its business. Reaction was far overdone.

Though these contracts don't come around every day, the capacity is there. Just a matter of time before that capacity gets filled up. Great job on all other contracts. Revenue visibility is quite intense from the big backlog.

WATCH

Intriguing. Likes business fundamentals. Space economy has a $1.5T addressable market. Has a $4.8B backlog, though did lose the EchoStar contract. Top-tier customers. NATO allies significantly upping defense spending. 

His team is assessing risk/reward. Watching, hasn't pulled trigger. Stay tuned.

BUY

They lost a big contract last week, but this is an isolated incident (to be confirmed). The company they lost the contact to had lost their spectrum to SpaceX over regulatory reasons. The rest of MDA's business is intact and should not be negatively impacted. The huge backlog from other clients should make up the lost capacity, though may see less business from the U.S. MDA should be fine going forward.

TOP PICK

They lost the Echo Star contract and shares plunged 25%. Was trading at 39x PE and now at 33x. Is cheap now and will recover their growth.

(Analysts’ price target is $44.25)
TOP PICK

One of the themes he's focused on is space, a long-term secular trend. Space economy is in very early stages, and will go on for a long time. This one is fully exposed to that economy. Three basic verticals:  robotics and space operations, low-orbiting satellite systems for Wi-Fi via satellite (best-known right now, huge backlog), geo-intelligence (defense). 

Leader in the group. Clean balance sheet. Interesting strategic acquisitions. Growth stock. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $54.50)
TOP PICK

The costs of space are coming way down and MDA is getting more and bigger contracts for more components. The backlog continues to grow. It executes well on its numbers. Space is an area to grow. It expands as prices come down which expands the whole market.      Buy 6 Hold 1 Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $54.50)
HOLD

Growth is there, 3 big contracts (1 Canadian, 2 US). Bright future, but it's priced in. If it's 5% of your portfolio, hold on and enjoy the ride. If you're way overweight, definitely trim some.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 28/24, Up 204%)

Despite growth profile, people were worried about its debt. Then it demonstrated its cost-saving abilities to one company and just took off. No longer undiscovered. 

HOLD

Really feeds into growth in the satellite business and space-based Wi-Fi. Lots of opportunity for growth in competition to Starlink. Run up. Better than 93% of companies in the S&P over last 52 weeks, so he wouldn't bet on a significant pullback. Still room to run.

TOP PICK

Exciting prospects. Cost of space has dropped so much it really opens up the market. That sector will have very strong tailwinds over the next several decades. Around for 55 years. Leader in space; satellites, sensors, components, Canadarm. Huge backlog. Great topline and bottom line growth. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $37.69)
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