TSE:MDA

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA.TO)

42.44
+0.05 (0.12%)
as of Jul 31, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
220 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 55 opinions in the last 12 months.

MDA Space Ltd. has emerged as a significant player within Canada's burgeoning space economy, particularly in light of the recent emphasis on defense spending. Experts highlight the company's solid balance sheet and a sizable order backlog, despite the volatility in its stock price, particularly following the loss of a major contract with EchoStar. Many analysts see potential for recovery and growth fueled by expansions into satellite technology and defense contracts. However, concerns regarding competition from companies like SpaceX and the overall capital-intensive nature of the space sector remain prevalent. While the stock might be perceived as risky due to its high PE ratios and recent downturns, the general outlook among analysts is cautiously optimistic, reflecting the company's long-term growth prospects driven by increasing demand in the space market.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BUY

In early stages of space economy. MDA's products will be in demand for a long time. EchoStar news was a surprise, yet MDA continues to have a large backlog. Pulled back to 200-day MA, which it's done many times over last year and rallied off it. Opportunities are no less than they were. He'd buy here.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 15/24, Up 152%)

Exited a bit higher than today because valuation seemed frothy. He'd likely look at it again if price dropped into the $20s with a lower valuation. Likes the satellite space quite a bit.

BUY

Great Canadian company, likes it. Since the price drop due to cancelled contract, he's been doing more work on it. Great order backlog. It'll grow with the amount of money going into low earth orbit satellites and defense. Good time to pick up. Good way to play AI through space.

HOLD

Big hit on EchoStar, but it had nothing to do with MDA and everything to do with EchoStar changing its business. Reaction was far overdone.

Though these contracts don't come around every day, the capacity is there. Just a matter of time before that capacity gets filled up. Great job on all other contracts. Revenue visibility is quite intense from the big backlog.

WATCH

Intriguing. Likes business fundamentals. Space economy has a $1.5T addressable market. Has a $4.8B backlog, though did lose the EchoStar contract. Top-tier customers. NATO allies significantly upping defense spending. 

His team is assessing risk/reward. Watching, hasn't pulled trigger. Stay tuned.

BUY

They lost a big contract last week, but this is an isolated incident (to be confirmed). The company they lost the contact to had lost their spectrum to SpaceX over regulatory reasons. The rest of MDA's business is intact and should not be negatively impacted. The huge backlog from other clients should make up the lost capacity, though may see less business from the U.S. MDA should be fine going forward.

TOP PICK

They lost the Echo Star contract and shares plunged 25%. Was trading at 39x PE and now at 33x. Is cheap now and will recover their growth.

(Analysts’ price target is $44.25)
TOP PICK

One of the themes he's focused on is space, a long-term secular trend. Space economy is in very early stages, and will go on for a long time. This one is fully exposed to that economy. Three basic verticals:  robotics and space operations, low-orbiting satellite systems for Wi-Fi via satellite (best-known right now, huge backlog), geo-intelligence (defense). 

Leader in the group. Clean balance sheet. Interesting strategic acquisitions. Growth stock. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $54.50)
TOP PICK

The costs of space are coming way down and MDA is getting more and bigger contracts for more components. The backlog continues to grow. It executes well on its numbers. Space is an area to grow. It expands as prices come down which expands the whole market.      Buy 6 Hold 1 Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $54.50)
HOLD

Growth is there, 3 big contracts (1 Canadian, 2 US). Bright future, but it's priced in. If it's 5% of your portfolio, hold on and enjoy the ride. If you're way overweight, definitely trim some.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 28/24, Up 204%)

Despite growth profile, people were worried about its debt. Then it demonstrated its cost-saving abilities to one company and just took off. No longer undiscovered. 

HOLD

Really feeds into growth in the satellite business and space-based Wi-Fi. Lots of opportunity for growth in competition to Starlink. Run up. Better than 93% of companies in the S&P over last 52 weeks, so he wouldn't bet on a significant pullback. Still room to run.

TOP PICK

Exciting prospects. Cost of space has dropped so much it really opens up the market. That sector will have very strong tailwinds over the next several decades. Around for 55 years. Leader in space; satellites, sensors, components, Canadarm. Huge backlog. Great topline and bottom line growth. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $37.69)
PARTIAL BUY

Last month, price, volume, relative strength were all pointing to a breakout to new highs, and now we see that. But a broad corrective phase is coming in 6-8 weeks. But you can start a position now, then add on weakness. Really likes the chart.

WATCH

Friday saw NASA cut funding for a lot of space programs, significant impact on MDA. On his radar. Really impressive contract wins, revenue growing pretty quickly, sector's been hot. He's invested in companies that depend on government and has been burned before. Be careful.

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