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TSE:MDA

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA.TO)

41.18
-1.44 (3.38%)
as of Aug 24, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
220 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 25, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 54 opinions in the last 12 months.

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA-T) is positioned in the growing space and defense industries, but has faced volatility and significant challenges, particularly with its loss of high-profile contracts like the one with EchoStar. While the company's new leadership is advocating for a pivot towards defense, some analysts express concerns over the sustainability of this transition due to underlying issues in the business. However, there is optimism surrounding significant upcoming opportunities, especially related to Canada's increasing military spending and a potential $40 billion pipeline for low-orbit satellites. Despite its volatile nature, MDA's strong backlog, order growth, and growing market for satellite operations suggest potential long-term value. Some experts caution that the company may be at risk of becoming a value trap, with better opportunities existing elsewhere in the sector.

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Consensus
Cautious
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BUY

His top pick in the past. This offers rare growth in the industrial space. Expects 25% earnings cash flow growth over 5 years and likely a 8x cash flow.

TOP PICK

Recent winning of billion dollar space contract from Canadian government very profitable. Stock performing very well the past few years. Demand for products remains strong, at a profitable rate. Expecting further growth in the years to come. Stock price under valued in relation to peers. Would recommend holding for the long term investor. 

STRONG BUY

Global tech leader, only pure-play public space technology. Cost of launching satellites has come way down. Well positioned in satellite systems, robotics, and geo-intelligence. $3.3B backlog. Clear visibility for 20-25% EBITDA growth per year for at least the next 3 years. Stock's come down to compellingly attractive levels.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 06/23, Up 113%)

It holds a dominant position in space technology. It also received a big contract with Telesat - more than $2 billion. It is a growth story.

TOP PICK

Very strong company that is a leader within the space satellite sector. Capex investments are starting to payoff as cash flow begins to rise. Expecting company to win large government contracts. Runway for space exploration limitless. Excellent pick for long term investors. 

TOP PICK

Global leader in the field. There's a new "space" economy, and MDA is well positioned to capture a good share. $3B  backlog. Clear visibility for 20% revenue and EBITDA growth per year for the next few years. Recently added to TSX Composite, underfollowed stock. 9x EBITDA, really cheap considering massive growth potential. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $16.25)
BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Forecasts call for sales growth of 23.5% and EPS growth of 21.1% in 2024. MDA has displayed nice momentum following a solid Q3 and has a large backlog of business. Additionally, MDA has started to see cash flows begin to increase. MDA is up 59% in the last year and a  valuation of 17.9x forward earnings is decent considering the strong momentum in the last year and forecasted outlook. We are comfortable adding to MDA at the current levels. 
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 30/22, Up 82%)

The Telesat contract really kicked them up. (Telsat contracted MDA for a major project.) MDA was able to lower the costs which allowed Telesat to raise financing for their project. Happy to continue owning this.

BUY

Last week, the Telesat deal surprised everyone. Nobody saw it coming. MDA developed a technology that really dropped the costs, so they were able to raise the financing. That deal was a feather in the cap, but MDA's demand will grow anyway. He likes the story and is hanging on, not selling any shares.

PARTIAL BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of 8c mostly matched estimates (8.2c); revenue of $196M was 1% better than expected. EBITDA of $40.4M was 11.5% better. Results were good, and guidance was raised. MDA also won a very large contract which adds significantly to earnings/revenue visibility. The stock has had a very big run; at 28X earnings it cannot be called cheap, but we think momentum can continue. We can't comment on position size but think it is buyable for aggressive investors, though we would not expect the same pace as recent gains. 
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BUY

He's been buying this all along. It bottomed at $6 and is now around $8.50. They're like the arms dealer in the old space race--making components in satellites. They're very well positioned. Are generating cash flow and raised full-year guidance. Delivered a good beat last quarter. Their valuation will expand. Satellites will continue to launch so there will be demand.

TOP PICK

Arms dealers of the space race. So well positioned, great growth profile. 20% annualized growth rate. In a growth area, and these guys make the nuts and bolts. Decent valuation, positive free cashflow. No dividend. 

(Analysts’ price target is $10.50)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 07/22, Down 17%)

Still likes it despite the disappointment. Haven't missed numbers. They're still expecting 25% cashflow growth over the next 3-4 years. Potential for takeout.

TOP PICK
Only recently spinoff as a public company. Arms dealer for "space race" (components for space equipment). Continue to push out state of the art products. Current share price presenting a buying opportunity. Good for long term share holders.
BUY
note: audio problems during broadcast Likes it. Don't look at earnings now, but instead the operating cash flow. Built-in contracts are fine. They have projected 25% annualized cash flow growth in the next 5 years. Not a well-known name, which is why shares are down so much this year, but they haven't done anything to disappoint investors.
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