TSE:MDA

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA.TO)

42.44
+0.05 (0.12%)
as of Jul 31, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
220 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 55 opinions in the last 12 months.

MDA Space Ltd. has emerged as a significant player within Canada's burgeoning space economy, particularly in light of the recent emphasis on defense spending. Experts highlight the company's solid balance sheet and a sizable order backlog, despite the volatility in its stock price, particularly following the loss of a major contract with EchoStar. Many analysts see potential for recovery and growth fueled by expansions into satellite technology and defense contracts. However, concerns regarding competition from companies like SpaceX and the overall capital-intensive nature of the space sector remain prevalent. While the stock might be perceived as risky due to its high PE ratios and recent downturns, the general outlook among analysts is cautiously optimistic, reflecting the company's long-term growth prospects driven by increasing demand in the space market.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Fair Value
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 09/25, Up 6%)

Twists and turns in news. AMZN buying out Globalstar should help them. Lumpy, but tailwinds for next 5-10 years.

BUY

Massive pipeline for new business. Potential contract from Canadian government. Management's doing a great job. More capacity for new clients. Bright future makes stock look cheap.

WEAK BUY

Trading at 3x book value, around 21x PE. Not bad, given earnings acceleration that's expected, but not inexpensive either. Overall, seems to be doing very well. Some worry over chips available to meet delivery, now resolved.

OK if you're a long-term investor. Satellite business is growing.

BUY

Top Pick in August, stopped out in September. He recently participated in the public offering when it sold shares in New York.

You have to be prepared to change your view when the situation changes. Technically, trading above all the moving averages from 200-day on up. Making relative strength highs. Almost at new highs. Space sector is a leadership group in the market.

HOLD
How will US rollout impact TSX shares?

Regarded as a US company. He thinks it'll be a success. Underlying theme is defense spending picking up 5% across NATO. Space will be a leading area, and MDA is well positioned.

IPO in the US should have no impact, though fluctuations in the CAD/USD will.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 18/25, Down 13%)

(Note the shortish timeframe.)  Still likes it. More business as space costs come down. Starting to rebuild what it lost from EchoStar contract.

BUY

Space sector is capital intensive, not many profitable companies. Space costs have really come down. Profitable, high-quality balance sheet. At 30x PE, not cheap but not expensive at all.

Recent earnings looked pretty good, $4B backlog and $40B pipeline. Not worried about cold shoulder from US, as international demand is there with not many competitors. Will work out for a 3-5 year time horizon.

BUY

Still likes it. Brutal year last year. Well positioned. Should get more contracts from Canadian fiscal spending as well as from international partners.

TOP PICK

Makes satellites. Leading space tech company, positioned to capitalize on expanding global space economy. Defense plus next-gen telecom satellite applications. Aurora satellite has competitive edge with cost-efficiency and high production volume. Large order backlog. 

Q4 reports next week, and he expects good results and steady stream of new contract announcements. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $47.06)
BUY

A great play on higher defence spending. Canadian defence stocks are rare. But the chart is rocky. Likes it. An obvious choice in defence.

WEAK BUY

Nice run on defense announcements. Pure play on growth in space. Loss of EchoStar contract put question marks on its backlog. It's 31% in the US, so what happens if CUSMA doesn't end well?

He models 14% EPS growth, trading ~21x PE. Given defense spending, not a bad buy here.

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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

Losing the $1.8-billion contract with American telecom EchoStar set them back, but MDA still reported Q3 revenue growth of 45% year-over-year while gross profits rose 43% in that period. Nearly 75% of MDA's business comes from satellites, and this segment gained 69% in this span. More than half of MDA's $4.4-billion pipeline is in satellites. MDA plays into the prevailing theme of defence, while its cash flow is good. Already in 2026, the stock has run up over 50%, but there's still room to run with the street targeting $46.06, about $8 higher than presently. Stockchaser Trevor Rose likes it for its moat.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Yes, we think MDA offers good potential and it also has scarcity value and is in a sector with high barriers to entry.
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HOLD

A small cap, and small caps are coming into vogue right now. Up 35% in the last year. Robotics, satellite systems, and geo-intelligence technology to the space industry. Elon Musk wanting to put up more satellites falls into this company's bailiwick. Aerospace is having its time to shine. Worth owning.

He owns HEI and CAE instead.

BUY

Lots of volatility. Part of the Golden Dome -- no $$ amount associated with that, but that they're part of it is a good endorsement. Needs to diversify its client base. Business is doing well, generates cashflow. A mission-critical company in Canada, with opportunities in Europe. Exposed to the right themes of defense and national security. A good hold for the next several years.

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