TSE:MDA

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA.TO)

46.01
-2.16 (4.48%)
as of Jul 13, 2026, 3:03:20 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 10, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 50 opinions in the last 12 months.

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA-T) has garnered mixed but generally positive reviews from analysts, reflecting optimism about its position in the emerging space industry. The company's growth potential is buoyed by a significant backlog of contracts, including prospects from Canadian and U.S. clients, and the anticipated rise in global defense spending. However, concerns linger due to the recent loss of the EchoStar contract, increasing competition from major players like SpaceX, and potential disappointments in the high-risk sector. Many experts view MDA as a strong long-term investment, championing its relatively attractive valuation compared to peers and its robust balance sheet, even as they acknowledge the inherent volatility and risks associated with the space market. Analysts' price targets suggest that there is room for growth despite the stock's current fluctuations.

consensus icon
Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

MDA is not cheap at 37X earnings. But it has nice contract, a competitive edge (barriers to entry), a strong balance sheet and solid growth. EPS should rise at least 33% next year and it has leverage to further contracts. Debt is barely six months' cash flow. Free cash flow was $258M in the last 12 months. The last quarter was very strong and well ahead of estimates. We think $27 would be a good price. 
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PARTIAL SELL

Still likes the story. Lightening up, as stock's doubled over the past year. Hasn't been buying since ~$20 level. Valuation's gone up a bit. Great momentum relative to the group. Leading on the number of contracts.

HOLD

Valuation looks rather expensive. If you own, don't sell. Capitalizing on movement to greater private enterprise in space. Gaining a lot of business. Some engineers he knows think a lot of this company, and that its products and services are critical components of the space race.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of 28c beat estimates of 17c; revenue of $282M beat estimates of $277M. EBITDA of $55M beat by 3%. Backlog is $4.6B. Revenue and EBITDA guidance was raised, and the company says it will be cash flow positive in Q4. Sales growth should be 30% with the new guidance. Higher work volumes and stronger contributions from satellite systems and robotics helped the quarter/outlook. Things continue to look good here. 
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BUY

The story is still intact, still likes it. They are the arms dealer in the space race. They keep launching into space. Margins continue to rise and demand remains strong.

BUY

The space economy is booming in telcos and space travel. The only pure-play space company. Lots of runway with double-digit EBITDA growth over 4-5 years. Their technology can launch satellites flexibly as the cost has fallen. He bought it last spring as their backlog grew a lot and their PE declined. One of his biggest holdings. Not a take-out candidate.

BUY

Bought it in the spring and a recent top pick. The space economy is booming (telcos and space travel). MDA is the world leader in the space space. A lot of room to grow; expects double-digit EBITDA growth over 5 years. They have the best technology to launch satellites as the cost of that has fallen.

BUY

His top pick in the past. This offers rare growth in the industrial space. Expects 25% earnings cash flow growth over 5 years and likely a 8x cash flow.

TOP PICK

Recent winning of billion dollar space contract from Canadian government very profitable. Stock performing very well the past few years. Demand for products remains strong, at a profitable rate. Expecting further growth in the years to come. Stock price under valued in relation to peers. Would recommend holding for the long term investor. 

STRONG BUY

Global tech leader, only pure-play public space technology. Cost of launching satellites has come way down. Well positioned in satellite systems, robotics, and geo-intelligence. $3.3B backlog. Clear visibility for 20-25% EBITDA growth per year for at least the next 3 years. Stock's come down to compellingly attractive levels.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 06/23, Up 113%)

It holds a dominant position in space technology. It also received a big contract with Telesat - more than $2 billion. It is a growth story.

TOP PICK

Very strong company that is a leader within the space satellite sector. Capex investments are starting to payoff as cash flow begins to rise. Expecting company to win large government contracts. Runway for space exploration limitless. Excellent pick for long term investors. 

TOP PICK

Global leader in the field. There's a new "space" economy, and MDA is well positioned to capture a good share. $3B  backlog. Clear visibility for 20% revenue and EBITDA growth per year for the next few years. Recently added to TSX Composite, underfollowed stock. 9x EBITDA, really cheap considering massive growth potential. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $16.25)
BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Forecasts call for sales growth of 23.5% and EPS growth of 21.1% in 2024. MDA has displayed nice momentum following a solid Q3 and has a large backlog of business. Additionally, MDA has started to see cash flows begin to increase. MDA is up 59% in the last year and a  valuation of 17.9x forward earnings is decent considering the strong momentum in the last year and forecasted outlook. We are comfortable adding to MDA at the current levels. 
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 30/22, Up 82%)

The Telesat contract really kicked them up. (Telsat contracted MDA for a major project.) MDA was able to lower the costs which allowed Telesat to raise financing for their project. Happy to continue owning this.

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