TSE:MDA

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA.TO)

42.44
+0.05 (0.12%)
as of Jul 31, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
220 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 55 opinions in the last 12 months.

MDA Space Ltd. has emerged as a significant player within Canada's burgeoning space economy, particularly in light of the recent emphasis on defense spending. Experts highlight the company's solid balance sheet and a sizable order backlog, despite the volatility in its stock price, particularly following the loss of a major contract with EchoStar. Many analysts see potential for recovery and growth fueled by expansions into satellite technology and defense contracts. However, concerns regarding competition from companies like SpaceX and the overall capital-intensive nature of the space sector remain prevalent. While the stock might be perceived as risky due to its high PE ratios and recent downturns, the general outlook among analysts is cautiously optimistic, reflecting the company's long-term growth prospects driven by increasing demand in the space market.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Fair Value
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 28/24, Up 82%)

At the time, there were huge announcements coming, and there was a huge order backlog. Is the only pure-play space tech stock in the world. The space economy is booming and they are perfectly positioned. Are famous for their robotics (Canadarm). The backlog has jumped from $3 billion to $5 billion, and recently raised guidance by 40% revenue and EBITDA growth. Trades at a discount to its US peers. 

WATCH

Very successful. On his farm team. Has been incredibly resilient going through this downturn. Has a deal with AAPL. Talk of a merger in US would require financing; if markets are a bit better, he'd probably participate.

HOLD

Parabolic move, which will wash out either in a downtrend or sideways action. Got the pullback, seems to have based, seems to be bouncing off. Resistance around $30. Doesn't look bad, especially in the midst of tariffs, good chance of getting to $30. Have to see if it goes through there.

Unspecified

They make the Canada Arm but the real growth in the satellite business is in low orbit satellites - it is much cheaper. MDA is a leader in this with a big backlog and a lower cost structure. It has done well in this area lately but there is lumpiness in the earnings.

BUY

Last few years have seen a resurgence of investment in space. Secured contract to build satellites for AAPL contractor. He's been buying recently, not that expensive. Exceptional long-term growth.

TOP PICK

It covers making satellites to software management. It is a great Canadian story and an example of how good Canada can be. It should grow by 30% for three years with great margins and trades at 13 times cash earnings. He is looking for a quick increase in the stock price to $50.    
Buy 6  Hold 2  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $32.63)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

MDA is not cheap at 37X earnings. But it has nice contract, a competitive edge (barriers to entry), a strong balance sheet and solid growth. EPS should rise at least 33% next year and it has leverage to further contracts. Debt is barely six months' cash flow. Free cash flow was $258M in the last 12 months. The last quarter was very strong and well ahead of estimates. We think $27 would be a good price. 
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PARTIAL SELL

Still likes the story. Lightening up, as stock's doubled over the past year. Hasn't been buying since ~$20 level. Valuation's gone up a bit. Great momentum relative to the group. Leading on the number of contracts.

HOLD

Valuation looks rather expensive. If you own, don't sell. Capitalizing on movement to greater private enterprise in space. Gaining a lot of business. Some engineers he knows think a lot of this company, and that its products and services are critical components of the space race.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of 28c beat estimates of 17c; revenue of $282M beat estimates of $277M. EBITDA of $55M beat by 3%. Backlog is $4.6B. Revenue and EBITDA guidance was raised, and the company says it will be cash flow positive in Q4. Sales growth should be 30% with the new guidance. Higher work volumes and stronger contributions from satellite systems and robotics helped the quarter/outlook. Things continue to look good here. 
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BUY

The story is still intact, still likes it. They are the arms dealer in the space race. They keep launching into space. Margins continue to rise and demand remains strong.

BUY

The space economy is booming in telcos and space travel. The only pure-play space company. Lots of runway with double-digit EBITDA growth over 4-5 years. Their technology can launch satellites flexibly as the cost has fallen. He bought it last spring as their backlog grew a lot and their PE declined. One of his biggest holdings. Not a take-out candidate.

BUY

Bought it in the spring and a recent top pick. The space economy is booming (telcos and space travel). MDA is the world leader in the space space. A lot of room to grow; expects double-digit EBITDA growth over 5 years. They have the best technology to launch satellites as the cost of that has fallen.

BUY

His top pick in the past. This offers rare growth in the industrial space. Expects 25% earnings cash flow growth over 5 years and likely a 8x cash flow.

TOP PICK

Recent winning of billion dollar space contract from Canadian government very profitable. Stock performing very well the past few years. Demand for products remains strong, at a profitable rate. Expecting further growth in the years to come. Stock price under valued in relation to peers. Would recommend holding for the long term investor. 

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