
TSE:MDA
This summary was created by AI, based on 50 opinions in the last 12 months.
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA-T) has garnered mixed but generally positive reviews from analysts, reflecting optimism about its position in the emerging space industry. The company's growth potential is buoyed by a significant backlog of contracts, including prospects from Canadian and U.S. clients, and the anticipated rise in global defense spending. However, concerns linger due to the recent loss of the EchoStar contract, increasing competition from major players like SpaceX, and potential disappointments in the high-risk sector. Many experts view MDA as a strong long-term investment, championing its relatively attractive valuation compared to peers and its robust balance sheet, even as they acknowledge the inherent volatility and risks associated with the space market. Analysts' price targets suggest that there is room for growth despite the stock's current fluctuations.
EPS of 28c beat estimates of 17c; revenue of $282M beat estimates of $277M. EBITDA of $55M beat by 3%. Backlog is $4.6B. Revenue and EBITDA guidance was raised, and the company says it will be cash flow positive in Q4. Sales growth should be 30% with the new guidance. Higher work volumes and stronger contributions from satellite systems and robotics helped the quarter/outlook. Things continue to look good here.
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The space economy is booming in telcos and space travel. The only pure-play space company. Lots of runway with double-digit EBITDA growth over 4-5 years. Their technology can launch satellites flexibly as the cost has fallen. He bought it last spring as their backlog grew a lot and their PE declined. One of his biggest holdings. Not a take-out candidate.
Bought it in the spring and a recent top pick. The space economy is booming (telcos and space travel). MDA is the world leader in the space space. A lot of room to grow; expects double-digit EBITDA growth over 5 years. They have the best technology to launch satellites as the cost of that has fallen.
Recent winning of billion dollar space contract from Canadian government very profitable. Stock performing very well the past few years. Demand for products remains strong, at a profitable rate. Expecting further growth in the years to come. Stock price under valued in relation to peers. Would recommend holding for the long term investor.
Global tech leader, only pure-play public space technology. Cost of launching satellites has come way down. Well positioned in satellite systems, robotics, and geo-intelligence. $3.3B backlog. Clear visibility for 20-25% EBITDA growth per year for at least the next 3 years. Stock's come down to compellingly attractive levels.
Global leader in the field. There's a new "space" economy, and MDA is well positioned to capture a good share. $3B backlog. Clear visibility for 20% revenue and EBITDA growth per year for the next few years. Recently added to TSX Composite, underfollowed stock. 9x EBITDA, really cheap considering massive growth potential. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $16.25)Forecasts call for sales growth of 23.5% and EPS growth of 21.1% in 2024. MDA has displayed nice momentum following a solid Q3 and has a large backlog of business. Additionally, MDA has started to see cash flows begin to increase. MDA is up 59% in the last year and a valuation of 17.9x forward earnings is decent considering the strong momentum in the last year and forecasted outlook. We are comfortable adding to MDA at the current levels.
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MDA is not cheap at 37X earnings. But it has nice contract, a competitive edge (barriers to entry), a strong balance sheet and solid growth. EPS should rise at least 33% next year and it has leverage to further contracts. Debt is barely six months' cash flow. Free cash flow was $258M in the last 12 months. The last quarter was very strong and well ahead of estimates. We think $27 would be a good price.
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