
TSE:LNR
It beat expectations last week. It has had solid organic growth as well as acquisitions. It also saw improvements in margins. Despite a pop in share price, it is trading at 7X this year's expected earnings. The industrial side is doing well and the parts side is turning the corner.
Buy 5 Hold 1 Sell 0
EPS of $1.98 beat estimates of $1.74; revenue of $2.45B was 3% ahead of estimates. The dividend was raised 13.6%. Most divisions saw market share gains. Sales rose 19% and profit rose 23%. LNR expects 'double digit' growth this year and commentary was positive. Things look solid here.
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Better off owning suppliers than car companies, which are caught trying to straddle combustion and EVs. Prominent Canadian company. MG can take advantage of its size, LNR is really well run. LNR is his choice for the long run, more nimble.
He tends to not own this type of highly cyclical business.
The industrial segment is doing very well. This consists of Skyjack in the aerial lift business, and the agricultural equipment division. Skyjack should continue to do well and can hold its prices steady along with a backlog of orders. The auto parts segment has not done well and the company just needs an improvement from the bottom to normal levels to lift the stock. It is near a 52 week low. Buy 5 Hold 1 Sell 0
(Analysts’ price target is $83.20)Auto parts, but has expanded into other industrial areas. Trades at a low multiple, selling into an industry where they don't have a lot of power because auto companies are so large. Well run, but too cyclical. Impacted by inflation and supply chain issues. Softening in consumer spending. Expensive transition from internal combustion to EVs.
About half profits come from non-auto businesses such as Skyjack and agricultural equipment. Auto parts are still under-earning from historical norms.
(Analysts’ price target is $87.50)Market gives a higher multiple to industrial manufacturers than auto parts. So as it becomes more diversified, potential for multiple expansion. He likes the diversification. If it continues to grow the fundamentals, the stock will eventually follow. Yield is 1.5%.
For comparison, MG trades at 7.4x 2024 expected earnings, despite missing expectations and giving weak guidance, and the stock came off. Whereas LNR beat expectations, raised guidance, yet trades at 6.5x.