
NYSE:JPM
Will still benefit from a recovering housing market. They are one of the larger, leading type of names which he continues to like. Their businesses look pretty solid. Investment banking is coming back. As the economy recovers, there will be lower loan losses. Trades at a pretty significant discount to its global and North American peers. 2.9% yield will grow.
This or a regional bank? Trading at around 9X earnings. Great management. One of the few companies that was able to survive through 2008 without requiring a bailout, but took it because they had to. Regarding regional banks, they are subjected to specific areas in the US and you can own both. Thinks they will both do very, very well. If you want less volatility and earnings, you should buy the regional banks. (See Top Picks.)
Longer term you will do very well. Right now they have a big bulls-eye on them. Full of turmoil. They are a senior bank and quite safe. When economy gets legs under it they will do well. Between now and then he is not sure how volatile they will be. Hold it in balance but pare back if you have too much.
J.P. Morgan (JPM-N) or Wells Fargo (WFC-N)? The longer-term view on US banks is, for the last 30 years, one of cyclicality. If you catch the trades right, US banks are very, very good. This one had a good risk culture but Wells Fargo had a better one. The big challenge for the money center banks is that they are going to have the strong glare of the regulatory lights. You will definitely get upside gains from recovers of unemployment, people taking loans, health recovery, etc. Feels regional banks will offer you more upside. (See top picks.)
All of the banks are challenged by loan growth and getting the net interest margin up. This one probably has more safety but more limited opportunities. At this point, with the pricing and valuations in the banks, he would probably gravitate towards Citibank (C-N). If you’re looking for mortgage exposure, J.P. Morgan or Wells Fargo (WFC-N) might be your choices.
It seems that everybody is out to get this company these days. This is unfortunate, because it is a great franchise. He typically moves on from things that have flies on them. He likes US banks and would suggest that you look at an equal weight U.S. Bank ETF.