JP Morgan Chase & CoJPMCOMMENTJul 12, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 20, 2026. Market Open.
They just reported a clear top and bottom line miss, though net interest income beat. The non-interest income and asset management missed. Expenses rose faster than revenue. Shares fell at first, but recovered when management offered a a positive forecast. Overall, results were mixed but the outlook makes this a winner.
It's all about the scale, and JPM's scale is tremendous. Largest US bank, and in over 100 countries. Built for almost any type of economic environment. Multiple revenue engines. Announced $50B share buyback. Strong performance due to increasing confidence about the economy.
Chart shows 200-day MA trending higher, and series of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.71%.
There is also a Canadian CDR (hedged) version but he prefers the actual stock in US dollars. He doesn't like the hedged versions of stocks which neutralize the foreign exchange component and prefers the benefit of owning companies in US dollars. He owns this and other US financials. Canadian banks have done very well.
Really knocked numbers out of the park. The interesting thing is that the stock actually closed negative. This is telling you that a big part of this bank is investment banking and trading. Going forward, with what is happening with interest rates, the potential for debt origination and proprietary trading capital markets business are going to be lower. Thinks there is a lot of underlying risk. The shine of the Steady Eddie earnings grower over a longer period of time, is going away from the banker. There are a lot of questions on the raising of capital ratios and how they calculate those ratios. This is a bank that needs to feed off capital markets and he sees it kind of range bound in this area from here. He prefers Wells Fargo (WFC-N).