JP Morgan Chase & CoJPMCOMMENTJul 11, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 20, 2026. Market Open.
They just reported a clear top and bottom line miss, though net interest income beat. The non-interest income and asset management missed. Expenses rose faster than revenue. Shares fell at first, but recovered when management offered a a positive forecast. Overall, results were mixed but the outlook makes this a winner.
It's all about the scale, and JPM's scale is tremendous. Largest US bank, and in over 100 countries. Built for almost any type of economic environment. Multiple revenue engines. Announced $50B share buyback. Strong performance due to increasing confidence about the economy.
Chart shows 200-day MA trending higher, and series of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.71%.
There is also a Canadian CDR (hedged) version but he prefers the actual stock in US dollars. He doesn't like the hedged versions of stocks which neutralize the foreign exchange component and prefers the benefit of owning companies in US dollars. He owns this and other US financials. Canadian banks have done very well.
US banks versus Canadian banks? If you have a group of companies that are fundamentally sound but are seeing net improvements from the margin like the US banks are seeing, and you compare them to a group likes the Canadian banks, relatively more expensive but the margins are seeing slowdowns, Canadian banks are likely to see contraction in the multiples and he feels you can get expansion in the multiples in US banks. This one was able to dance through the damage without getting winged too badly so their management group should have pretty strong credibility and probably should have a multiple that is higher than the group. Yield is about 3% and there hasn’t been a lot of dividend increases because the Fed has held all of them back.