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They have 2 assets that are coming online with Luan (?) having its 1st gas towards December and Sunrise projects having its 1st oil towards the 1st quarter. Not high risk because it is integrated. Have been achieving pretty good production growth between 5%-8% over the last couple of years. Very strong balance sheet. He has a $35 target on this one.
There are 2 things going on with this company that are a bit of a tug-of-war. Wide crack spread has really helped them but he thinks this is going to narrow in the 2nd half. Does like that their production growth has been climbing and they are doing this with flat CapX, which is impressive. Have 2 really good projects coming on and if they execute could be a significant boost to NAV. Low risk and a good balance sheet.
Thinks you will have to have patience with this one as he expects it will be choppy. Over time though, it is going to do very well. Canadian companies that have large in-place reserves will do very well over the next 5 years as a consequence of continued disruption in the global market. An interesting stock if you have a five-year horizon.
Numbers that came out over the last year have continued to disappoint. They have good asset packages but production does not meet his expectations. Good company but other than the dividend, not exciting.