Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

Has been a long-term holder of this, although hasn’t been buying in the last 1.5 years. She felt that energy still had some weakness behind it. They did an equity issue last week at a 5% discount to what the stock was trading at. That was disappointing.

A good dividend-paying company. A high quality company with long life assets. People are always afraid the company is going to buy something and it sold off recently. It is cheap relative to other companies. The yield is down to about 2% now.

For many years this company was a serial buyer of other oil companies, and a serial issuer of stock. That was great for brokers and investment bankers, but the stock wasn’t going anywhere because of all that dilution. They said that they would not do that again for quite some time, and yesterday they decided to do it again, which the market clearly did not like.

Pretty decent management and good assets. The one thing he doesn’t like is that over the past 10 years they have been growing through acquisitions, which have been funded with a lot of equity issues. He prefers companies that are able to self fund their growth, rather than issuing equity.

(A Top Pick Aug 25/15. Up 71.25%.) At the current price, this is not a Hold, but in the next 2 months it is his intention to Buy below $20. If he can get it in the high $18-low $19, he would buy it aggressively. Thinks this is a $28 stock 2 years out at $65 oil in 2018.

This fell along with the other oils, and now it is starting to build. There are a series of higher highs and higher lows. It looks okay, and as long as the short term trend is not broken and it continues to make higher highs and higher lows, he would Buy it.

Since they cut their dividend, they are now cash flow positive. This is an extremely well-run oil/gas company. Have been tremendous acquirers of land with great drilling potential. They have drilling potential going out several years. This is only selling at about 6X cash flow. Feels it still has some upside potential. Dividend yield of 1.7%.

It seems to have found pretty good support @$19. He believes that the large caps are fairly to overvalued. CPG-T eliminated the drip. They have a strong balance sheet and strong hedges. Below $19 it is a fair buy.

Whitecap (WCP-T), Crescent Point (CPG-T) or Cardinal Energy (CJ-T)? Crescent Point and Whitecap are very similar and would be on his list. This company really seems to be hunkering down and trying to work with what they have. Very disciplined. This is the one that he would gravitate towards.

Of the Canadian light oil producers, he thinks this is the best on the senior side. Great management team and good operators. The dividend yield has gone down with the recent dividend cut, but he understands that they had to do it. Management runs the company for the long-term. They buy large oil in-place resources that they can exploit over time. This has a very long cash flow stream. We have had a recent run with oil prices and they have dropped off a bit. Oil companies are starting to soften during the summer, which is what is expected. He wants to see it get through the summer and see how the driving season finishes up for demand and inventory. Would look at this and others over the next few months for good entry points.

Rapidly heading towards 200,000 barrels a day of predominantly light oil production. They have a huge amount of inventory running room. Has always had a really good balance sheet. It has a great hedging program that runs out to 3 years. What you have to look forward to is the ongoing progress of instituting water flood across their properties, moderating the decline rate, and making for a sustainable business that will pay you a dividend for years to come.

(Market Call Minute) Wonderful properties, but it is one of the higher cost producers. As they work down costs they become more of a buy.

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ-T) or Crescent Point (CPG-T)? He likes both. This one is 98% oil and 2% gas. Of the 2, he would pick this one.

Sold most of his holdings, and recently bought back in. It ran up to $22, and has backed off about 10%. It is still one of the best oil company management teams in Canada. They are not in the oil sands, they are in the Bakken’s. With any kind of upward movement in earnings he sees they will be quick to pay it out in the form of dividends. Dividend yield of 1.8%.

Has been negative on this for years and years. They finally did all the right things. They cut the dividend and have been shoring up the balance sheet. He was never negative on the way they ran the business, but because they were always buying more assets, raising their dividend, and then raising money. It was the financial engineering he didn’t like. They are not doing that anymore. At around $20 you can buy this.