Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

One of his favourite energy stocks. It is one of the best companies in Canada. They have 7000 prospective wells, many of which are subject to the benefit of water flood. You are going to see continuing increases in production. Feels that eventually the dividend will start to be increased.

One of the higher-quality names in the group. Has been frustrated on management doing what they said they wouldn’t do, such as issuing new stock, or stating that there would be no dividend cut. Thinks oil has turned the corner, and you could start a position here. He is looking at this. You might see a breather over the next quarter, and that is when he would be looking to entering this.

A well run company. The best thing management did was to reduce their dividend. In the old days they paid out a lot of money in dividends, and they were serial issuers. His hope is that they do not raise the dividend if oil prices go up, or to start issuing equity again. He is looking at this one.

(Market Call Minute.) Not a big fan of energy stocks in general, but likes this one. Has a good portfolio and a good land base to drill on. Generating a decent cash flow.

This has a sustainable payout ratio and a valuation that is not bad. It also has slight production growth from 2015 to 2017. Yield of under 2%.

Likes this but doesn’t own it. It’s on his radar, and at the right time and the right price he will probably be buying it. Thinks oil and a lot of commodities went down too far and too fast, and then bounced back with a lot of Short covering. The outages in the Athabasca area, Nigeria and other places have caused an artificial shortage in crude. With the oil sands starting to come on, that is going to start to ease. Thinks oil is going to start heading down again, possibly the lower $40 or the higher $30, and then it is worth looking at.

(A Top Pick June 1/15. Down 19.84%.) His favourite senior oil. It has the most growth. For the first time, they are going the other way by being a seller of properties. Lowered the dividend to the point where the balance sheet is good. Still has a lot of hedges in place. Their breakeven point is down into the high $30s.

Crescent Point (CPG-T) or Suncor (SU-T)? He would choose Suncor because it is more defensive being integrated and has the refinery assets. This is a very good name, but it has rolled a little bit more with a commodity, in terms of pricing.

Their balance sheet is in good shape. They concentrate on big positions in a few properties, which seems to work well for them. They have a disciplined way of selling forward in the futures market. This is light oil, they are hedged, and it is a good balance sheet.

Has held this for a number of years. Feels that through this downturn, people appreciate the fact that they didn’t utilize debt to make all those acquisitions. Think they have gotten back to the stage where they want to be more organically driven. A core holding for him. It has significant torque to not only the underlying margins with oil recovering, but with the ability to introduce growth back into the equation.

Loves the stock at $12-$19, but at $22 it is fairly valued. Management team has been great. Trading at 8X on $60 oil, and he struggles figuring out how he gets rich at this level. With the meteoric rise in the shares, it is possible that over the summer there would be a 5%-10% correction.

He likes this company. They have been executing well recently. The issue he had with them in the past is that they lacked discipline on the acquisition side. He is still a bit concerned about this.

(Top Pick Jul 7/15, Down 9.93%) Oil prices were where they are now. He added more to the position at the low and then got out recently. Some hedges rolled off so that is why it is down now.

If looking to increase your oil exposure, this is a name to go to. Feels they are doing all the right things. It had a bit of a challenge coming into this downturn, because their dividend was too high. They got rid of their DRIP plan which was a good thing, and are living within their means right now. The water flooding is doing very well, so they have to spend less capital to keep the production flat.

Encana (ECA-T) or Crescent Point Energy (CPG-T)? Wants to sell one to buy the other. He would sell Encana. Thinks this company’s management’s head and shoulders above anyone else in the oil patch.