Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

He is so bearish on this one… We had a negative transit through EBV -1. He has a $6.58 model price. There are still bad times ahead.

The stock broke a long downtrend from 2014 and has been basing. From a bigger perspective, that is not a bad thing. Right now, this is in no man’s land and you can’t make a trading decision. If you own it already, he would continue to Hold to see if it could hold $12, and if it does you are probably safe for a while.

Has great faith in this company’s management. They were a little slow in cutting their dividend. They are going to survive. Has some good land. They have lots of properties. Where people are worried about the US border tax they have lots of lands in North Dakota.

This was a darling of the energy sector for many years. When it cut its dividend, that takes a long time to come back. The trajectory of dividend is far more important than magnitude. They had sustained their big dividend and their big capital spends through doing continuous equity offerings. Doesn’t think the border tax is going to affect Canadian energy stocks. This is still a very good play and a very low cost energy space in Canada, and not a bad way to participate.

Whitecap Resources (WCP-T) or Crescent Point (CPG-T)? Two different types of companies. Whitecap is more of a growth company paying a dividend, while Crescent Point is much more mature. CPG-T pays a fairly good dividend. They’ve amassed a great deal of property with a lot of drilling opportunities over the next number of years. He owns a little and is quite comfortable holding it as it has a good balance sheet. If looking for steady, long term prospects, this is probably the one you should stick with.

(Market Call Minute.) Probably a value trap. People have given up on the name. It is probably going to stay cheap for the foreseeable future.

He sold it and took a small profit. He trades very short term. It is a great company and got a lot lower than when he bought it. He does not like it here. Wait for the next major down turn.

Predominantly oil with very good assets. There are a couple of problems. The main one is that they have been a serial issuer of equity. The last one was around $19, so you are going to be bumping up against that level going forward. The yield is not very much right now, so you are kind of in the middle of nowhere right now.

One of two Canadian oil stocks that he thinks have upside potential. Definitively hold it if you have it. He likes this and IMO-N, having upside potential in the oil sector.

A “go to” stock when oil runs, but in terms of quality names, he just doesn’t put this in the “good quality” category. There are some headwinds against it. He would rather own a company that doesn’t issue stock all the time. Not a bad company, but just not anywhere close to his favourite. (See Top Picks.)

This is becoming a much better name. He is now modelling $58 oil for 2017. Based on that, this is very cheap relative to its peers. Trading at about 6.6X versus its peers at about 8.9X. Its balance sheet has become much better. Payout ratio is about 94%, and it is paying you to wait. Feels this has come off because of concerns that the supply response for US shale has perked up, but also there is a concern of the border tax for Canadian oil producers. Not sure he would buy this quite yet.

They lowered their costs. They are big in Alberta and Saskatchewan as well as the US. They were a very good hedger. Their hedge for Q1 and Q2 will put them in a good position if the price of oil goes down in Q1 and Q2 of this year. The company is shrinking because of the lack of Cap-X. They have to build to replace declines. Buy after an oil price decline. The market now wants to see them grow by drilling.

This had been hurt. It was poking its head up and was starting to outperform, and then they did an equity issue which hurt them again. He cut his position in half last year. Expects the dividend will come back. As the year goes on, if oil prices stay at the $45-$55 area, the company does a good job at finding oil and bring it on cost effectively. He is going to continue to Hold. It will probably yield between 3% and 4% in dividends.

Most retail investors don’t like this because it has underperformed for a long time. They have great oil assets in Saskatchewan, and have drilling plays they can drill for the next 20 years. The problem is, they have done a lot of acquisitions. Trading below $20 and should do well in an oil recovery. If you think oil is going back to $60-$70, this is a great company. He likes this.

If he were going to own an oil company, this would certainly be on the list. He doesn’t own any oil companies because he believes the market is very likely to be oversupplied again in the short run. There is so much fracing capacity that, when oil prices go down, a supply deficit will quickly turn into a supply surplus. He also has grave doubts about OPEC sticking to its resolution.