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TSE:CP

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

132.94
+2.13 (1.63%)
as of Aug 21, 2026, 7:27:17 pm Market Open.
641 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 21, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 25 opinions in the last 12 months.

Experts have mixed opinions on Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T), with a general outlook leaning towards long-term positivity despite concerns about current economic headwinds and tariff negotiations. The stock has shown resilience, breaking through resistance levels recently, and some analysts expect growth driven by operational efficiencies from the KSU acquisition. However, there are warnings about potential short-term disruptions linked to trade discussions, with several experts noting a freight recession that has affected rail volumes. Valuations reflect the impact of these challenges, leading some to advise caution and recommend waiting for favorable entry points. Overall, while CP's network and strategic position are praised, uncertainty due to external factors like CUSMA negotiations introduces volatility in the near term.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
CNR
COMMENT

He sold this recently. It is a great company but the valuation is too high: 23 or 24 times this year's expected earnings. There are some cyclical headwinds in the short term and there is the Kansas City acquisition. Also there are warning flags on operating efficiencies.

BUY

Commodity strength will be good for business. Top Canadian railway pick. Excellent business with strong business fundamentals. Core holding in portfolio. Will hold for long term. 

HOLD

Railroads indicative of economic conditions - current share price reflecting economy. Recent M&A has panned out well. Expects demand for railways to continue. A defensive name, better options for major capital appreciation. Modest dividend that is relatively safe. 

COMMENT

She likes the railways but doesn't own them since they are economically sensitive. If choosing between them she would pick CN since historically it has a better management team and a better dividend - 2% as opposed to CP's 0.7%. Also CP is still digesting its large Kansas City acquisition.

HOLD
CNR vs. CP

He owns both. CP is the only one through Mexico-US-Canada.

Duopoly in Canada. Not building any more rails. Remains the cheapest mode of transportation for certain types of goods. Different, but both will do well.

STRONG BUY

The strongest rail company. Total revenues were up 53% YOY, operating income 10% and EPS 4%. They guided double-digit earnings growth in 2024. Synergies from the merger and a better economy will drive this company, said management.

BUY
CP vs. CNR

CNR had the advantage in early days, with all kinds of government money spent on it. If he had to choose today, he'd pick CP. Seems to have an expansive view with KSU takeover, more aggressive growth strategy, better growth possibilities.

BUY
Hold in a TFSA?

The rails face pressure from the current economy, but the economy will expand in the next 10 years. So, the rails will do well as they move goods. Yes, it's good to hold in a TFSA.

DON'T BUY

The rails trade in tandem. With CP buying Kansas City, CP now competes head-to-head with CNR which used to have more of a north-south network. He isn't jumping into these stocks, because of a possible recession later this year. If you're a long, long-term holder, holding rails isn't bad, but he wouldn't but them now.

BUY

Canadian railroads have 15% compound returns going back 30 years. CP has done way better than CNR. Wishes he owned CP, and you probably should own both. Will see buybacks, dividend increases, growth at GDP+. Always cutting costs. Will see double-digit returns for a very long time. Nothing can displace railroads. Drones just can't move the heavy stuff.

Bullish because we'll see more onshoring. Hard to tell if we're going into recession or accelerating. Should see restocking of inventory. 

PARTIAL BUY

Likes overall business. Technically, if line does not hold, stock could fall. If economic recession, stock price will fall. Would recommend half position, waiting for weakness. 

BUY

This and CN got hit by the wildfires, so they had lousy quarters. Otherwise, it depends on the harvest, commodities and housing (moving lumber). A good company, more efficient than CN. Own one or the other, which should do better in 2024.

DON'T BUY

Sounds as though the amalgamation is going well. The benefit is that the network now goes North-South, East-West. He owns CNR instead. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 01/23, Down 2%)

Under pressure, but his view is longer term. Assets are irreplaceable. Overall, should grow with the economy and increase prices. Synergies from merger will last a long time. It will take longer, but eventually a NA powerhouse.

BUY

Owns shares in business. Excellent business with legacy assets. Mexico to Canadian railway valuable. Good at capital allocation. Strong investment for long term investors. 

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