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TSE:CP
This summary was created by AI, based on 25 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts have mixed opinions on Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T), with a general outlook leaning towards long-term positivity despite concerns about current economic headwinds and tariff negotiations. The stock has shown resilience, breaking through resistance levels recently, and some analysts expect growth driven by operational efficiencies from the KSU acquisition. However, there are warnings about potential short-term disruptions linked to trade discussions, with several experts noting a freight recession that has affected rail volumes. Valuations reflect the impact of these challenges, leading some to advise caution and recommend waiting for favorable entry points. Overall, while CP's network and strategic position are praised, uncertainty due to external factors like CUSMA negotiations introduces volatility in the near term.
The rails trade in tandem. With CP buying Kansas City, CP now competes head-to-head with CNR which used to have more of a north-south network. He isn't jumping into these stocks, because of a possible recession later this year. If you're a long, long-term holder, holding rails isn't bad, but he wouldn't but them now.
Canadian railroads have 15% compound returns going back 30 years. CP has done way better than CNR. Wishes he owned CP, and you probably should own both. Will see buybacks, dividend increases, growth at GDP+. Always cutting costs. Will see double-digit returns for a very long time. Nothing can displace railroads. Drones just can't move the heavy stuff.
Bullish because we'll see more onshoring. Hard to tell if we're going into recession or accelerating. Should see restocking of inventory.