
TSE:CNR
This summary was created by AI, based on 31 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian National R.R. (CNR) has garnered mixed opinions from experts, highlighting both its long-term potential and recent challenges. While the company's strong earnings, increased revenue, and share buyback initiatives have garnered positive feedback, concerns about tariffs, cyclical pressures, and reduced capex have tempered enthusiasm. Many experts note that CNR's ability to adapt to current pressures, such as trade uncertainties and economic slowdowns, will be crucial for its performance moving forward. Despite these challenges, many believe that the underlying business remains solid, with an irreplaceable network providing a competitive advantage. Long-term growth of around 4-5% is projected, and the current valuation appears attractive compared to historical benchmarks.
CP-T earnings have improved with revenues up in all their businesses. He holds CNR-T instead. He would not buy more at these valuations. If you are playing the oil by rail strategy, he would prefer CNR-T as it has more incremental market opportunity as it ships south into the US. He is not adding adding to his position.
He owns this and CSX, because he wants U.S. exposure (and doesn't own CP, because it's more east-west Canadian). The rails offer good exposure to the general economy. Given the lack of pipelines in Canada, shipping oil by rail adds 3-4% to earnings in the next few years. Around $130 is his target. Buy at $120.
He really likes the rails. It is basically impossible to build out any more national rail networks. He prefers Canadian rails to the US because they have not been experiencing as much of a volume decline. CNR-T is best in class management. They have more growth opportunities out of their core business. CNR-T and CP-T are his favourite rail picks.
If there's a recession, CN revenues will slow. They warned that their Q2 may be a little weak, though they'll hit their targets. They continue to generate a lot of cash flow and are adding more assets, like rail cars and lines. He believes the North American economy will continue to grow at 2-3%, so CN will benefit. A must-own. (CP is also good.)
He owns CP, which has a better profile. Don't sell CNR, but hold.