
TSE:CNR
This summary was created by AI, based on 40 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian National R.R. (CNR) appears to be navigating a challenging economic landscape marked by a prolonged freight recession and external pressures such as tariffs and geopolitical tensions. Experts suggest that while the rail network enjoys irreplaceable assets and pricing power, the current cyclical downturn in the economy is impacting volumes and investor confidence. Many analysts view CNR as more attractively valued than its peers, particularly given its recent stock price decline which is seen as an opportunity to accumulate shares for the long term. Despite mixed short-term performance predictions, the majority of experts believe in the resilience of CNR's business model, its historical share buybacks, and dividend growth as indicators of potential recovery when overall economic conditions improve. The consensus leans towards a wait-and-see approach, with recommendations to consider averaging into positions on dips.
CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.
CIBC vs CN Rail for income? He would be getting out of all the Canadian rails at this point. The banks are also getting hurt. Negative interest rate curves are a warning that something ugly is going to happen. The GDP will fall and interest rates will begin to rise. He would therefore buy into CM-T and drop CNR-T.
CP-T earnings have improved with revenues up in all their businesses. He holds CNR-T instead. He would not buy more at these valuations. If you are playing the oil by rail strategy, he would prefer CNR-T as it has more incremental market opportunity as it ships south into the US. He is not adding adding to his position.
He owns this and CSX, because he wants U.S. exposure (and doesn't own CP, because it's more east-west Canadian). The rails offer good exposure to the general economy. Given the lack of pipelines in Canada, shipping oil by rail adds 3-4% to earnings in the next few years. Around $130 is his target. Buy at $120.