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TSE:CNR
This summary was created by AI, based on 45 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts have mixed feelings about Canadian National Railway (CNR), largely viewing it as a solid long-term investment despite current challenges. The company is seen as having a unique and irreplaceable network, which is coupled with high barriers to entry and a decent dividend yield of around 2-2.7%. There is a consensus that CNR is benefiting from reduced capex after heavy investments, allowing it to accommodate growth with less immediate expenditure. However, the sentiment is tempered by concerns of a freight recession, tariffs, and a soft Canadian economy, leading some analysts to favor its competitor, CP. Overall, while the outlook includes potential volatility due to economic factors, CNR remains an attractive option for long-term investors looking for value amidst its current discounted valuation.
CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.
CIBC vs CN Rail for income? He would be getting out of all the Canadian rails at this point. The banks are also getting hurt. Negative interest rate curves are a warning that something ugly is going to happen. The GDP will fall and interest rates will begin to rise. He would therefore buy into CM-T and drop CNR-T.
CP-T earnings have improved with revenues up in all their businesses. He holds CNR-T instead. He would not buy more at these valuations. If you are playing the oil by rail strategy, he would prefer CNR-T as it has more incremental market opportunity as it ships south into the US. He is not adding adding to his position.
He owns this and CSX, because he wants U.S. exposure (and doesn't own CP, because it's more east-west Canadian). The rails offer good exposure to the general economy. Given the lack of pipelines in Canada, shipping oil by rail adds 3-4% to earnings in the next few years. Around $130 is his target. Buy at $120.