Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ.TO) Buy, Sell or…

Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ.TO)

78.42

+1.37 (1.78%)

as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.

1410 watching

DON'T BUY

Did the Saudis buy into Suncor and CNQ? He believes this is true, that a large Canadian pension fund sold these stocks to the Saudis. Can't comment on the stocks themselves; anything oil and gas been difficult. This industry can't catch a break. Oil prices can't trade at these prices for long, and a second wave will hurt these stocks more.

WATCH

He owns no producers in Canada, nor the US. Near term contracts on oil have moved substantially. Longer term they have not moved. This is a mid-term trade. There will be a lot more volatility in the space. We have to get through a lot of inventory before fundamentals will change on oil.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Balance sheet safe? Their debt increased to $19.9 billion by end-March and equity is $34 billion. He feels the balance sheet is safe, but it is very levered to oil prices. As he thinks WTI could drop below $20 again soon on rising global inventory, he would be cautious. They have not cut the dividend, but have not taken any impairments on reserves just yet. He thinks this may cause some concern about the dividend longevity. Don't chase it, wait for a lower price.

DON'T BUY

Phase I was the valley of death, when oil prices went to single digits. Now in Phase II, oil prices have recovered and the market is now waiting to see what happens to oil demand and how quickly it recovers. He holds 12 names, 8 of them oil producers. He would rather own a smaller cap producer. CNQ has tough competition on its cash flow to keep paying the dividend (he was surprised they didn't cut the dividend). He thinks when a buyer enters on a small cap stock, it can turn higher more aggressively.

COMMENT

A great company, one of Canada's best oil companies with a super balance sheet. But CNQ couldn't do anything during the recent oil war. What could they do? They can't control the price of oil. This will be a consolidator over time. Smaller energy companies won't make it through. Oil is a tough sector with a murky future. Will oil return to $50 or $60? Oil companies have to wait for the oil price to rise.

COMMENT

The composition of this ETF has become highly concentrated. Five names account for 78% of its value. CNQ and SU account for most it. Both of those names have rallied well compared to their peers as buyers in the US have been stepping in. However, their hedge books are naked to oil prices right now. He would prefer to own small cap names with good hedge books, if you select the right ones he thinks.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

All oil has been decimated. Shocking. But these stocks can bounce nicely on optimistic day. They have free cash flow to service their debt. Don't chase it today, but nibble under $12 and hold it for long term. They have a great suite of assets and they will pay down their debt. Down the road, expect buybacks and acquisitions.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 18/19, Down 54%) Everything went well until the Saudi/Russia conflict. He is not buying oils at this point.

BUY

He owns CNQ instead of Suncor. These two are the ones you want to own with the volatility in the oil market. They both have the ability to manage through this and have a chance to buy a bunch of assets. The smaller caps are just fighting to live another day. Risk that oil can go lower.

COMMENT

Energy stocks? Right now stick to the large, liquid energy stocks. There is growing concern of counter-party credit exposure within the mid-stream and pipeline space. He recommends ENB-T and TRP-T for pipelines and SU-T and CNQ-T for producers, if you want to own any energy stocks. SU-T yield is 7.2%, while CNQ-T is 8.4%. CNQ-T is probably still showing positive cash flow, even at these oil price levels. You may still lose money, but it will be much less than a smaller player.

COMMENT

Valuation is getting more expensive, payout ratio is going higher, balance sheet is getting worse. Only buy if you think oil is going higher, and then you'll be fine.

COMMENT

Suncor is a good buy, but so is CNQ, he thinks. Both have yields of 5.6% today.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 27/19, Down 7%) A week and a half ago this was up in value. He thinks the sell off will be short lived. This is still a Top Pick for him.

HOLD

Suncor will be a survivor of this energy down turn, but only wants to own one oil sands producer. He prefers CNQ. Suncor has benefited from their refinery assets, but that value uplift is pretty much played out.

TOP PICK

Any time the share price drops to the low $30s this is a good buy. He expects it to rebound back above the mid-$40s when oil prices recover. Their capex has peaked and now they can reap the benefits in higher cash flows. When capital returns to Canada, this will be one of the first ones to attract new investor interest. Yield 4.47% (Analysts’ price target is $47.00)

Showing 376 to 390 of 1,736 entries

Most Recent Experts

Brianne Gardner

Raymond James

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)

Stockchase Premium

Darren Sissons

Campbell Lee & Ross

The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki

Stockchase

Jim Cramer - Mad Money

CNBC

Stockchase, in its reporting on what has been discussed by individuals on business television programs (in particular Business News Network), neither recommends nor promotes any investment strategies.

We paraphrase the experts by hand, we watch the shows and write down what we understood from the experts’ comments. We are human and can make mistakes, help us fix any errors. If you see something that you know is not right or if there is a problem with the site, feel free to email us at : [email protected].

Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ.TO)