TSE:CM

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM.TO)

166.97
+3.44 (2.10%)
as of Jul 10, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 11, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 19 opinions in the last 12 months.

The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) has received mixed opinions from analysts regarding its performance and valuation. Many experts highlight its strong earnings growth, driven by significant increases in US-based business, and impressive return on equity, although concerns exist regarding its reliance on Canadian consumers and residential mortgages amid potential economic headwinds. Some analysts commend its cash reserve growth, with aggressive share buybacks and debt reduction strategies. However, others point out that the bank's valuation may be becoming stretched given the current economic context, urging caution and suggesting a focus on more defensive investments in the banking sector. Overall, while CIBC's trajectory appears positive, particularly with infrastructure developments benefiting the sector, the differing perspectives on its valuation suggest a cautious approach might be warranted.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
RY
HOLD
He is luke warm on Canadian banks. He owns BNS-T and CWB-T. It has not been the best run bank historically. The dividend is safe unless something horrific happens. It will probably continue to grow its dividend.
COMMENT

Canadian banks have gotten very cheap now. CIBC has a US presence but it’s mainly in Canada. RBC has more resources with a global presence. He thinks that banks are still a good place to be. Would be buying Royal Bank and TD.

BUY
The breakout above $105 is very encouraging and he picked it up. We just punched through the 200 day moving average. This stock is outperforming the S&P.
TOP PICK
They surprised everybody in the last quarter with earnings. You get over 5.5% yield. The valuation of this banks is out of kilter with the other banks. People are concerned that they are too Canada-centric. At this price it is his Top Pick. It is a screaming buy at $100. (Analysts’ price target is $110.94)
DON'T BUY
Facing same issues as all the banks. Cheaper valuation, so bit more protected on the downside. No earnings growth. Not getting the spread when rates are compressed.
BUY
Seasonality around October, as it is year end for them. It’s at an attractive place. It’s at the low end of its trading range so he would be a buyer here. It won’t stay here for too long.
COMMENT

CIBC vs CN Rail for income? He would be getting out of all the Canadian rails at this point. The banks are also getting hurt. Negative interest rate curves are a warning that something ugly is going to happen. The GDP will fall and interest rates will begin to rise. He would therefore buy into CM-T and drop CNR-T.

DON'T BUY
The most exposed Canadian bank to Canada and one of the weakest Canadian banks. Their capital markets business is losing market shares. Their asset management strategy is poorly developed. They are expanding into commercial lending in the States, which looks good, 12% of their overall business. The dividend pays a high 5.7%, but look elsewhere for a better total return.
DON'T BUY
Problem is that it's not at the bottom of its range. Possibility of going down to $90. Looks as though it's broken through 2017-18 support. If he had to buy a bank now, this one would not be it.
HOLD

He owns no banks; it's a tough environment for them. Low interest rates will be a headwind. In the next 12 months, look elsewhere, but long term this is fine to hold. The banks haven't done anything in the last 17 months. CM is his choice after RY-T.

DON'T BUY
Recently reduced individual bank exposure. He's decided to bring it back to a market exposure. It's not a good environment for the banks, with low interest rates. Probably have a recession coming, and the banks will struggle. Earnings growth will probably stall. Could do better in other ETFs. Higher risk in the banking group.
COMMENT

With the flattening of the yield curve it gets harder for these companies. CM-T is Canadian focused so he likes TD-T and RY-T, which are the two best run banks in Canada.

BUY
The whole Canadian banking system has traded down. He loves being an owner of it and thinks we are getting an opportunity. Housing market fears are laying hard on the markets. There are short positions in the US on Canadian Banks. The banks are starting to look very attractive.
PARTIAL BUY
If it breaks $110 we are going up. He just picked it up. He likes the basing here we just saw. There is a downtrend overhanging it. He thinks the risk/reward is really good. It is a good place to pickup at least half the position.
WEAK BUY

RY is his favourite bank, but there's nothing wrong in investing in Canadian banks. The banks pay a 4% dividend and raise them by 6% a year. That's why the Canadian banks beat the TSX.

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