TSE:CJ

Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ.TO)

10.75
-0.02 (0.19%)
as of Jul 20, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
267 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 19, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.

Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ-T) is currently navigating a mixed landscape, characterized by a favorable outlook driven by oil price dynamics and strategic advancements in their SAGD operations. The company's dividend yield, which hovers around 7.8% to just under 9%, has raised concerns regarding sustainability, particularly as the payout ratio stands high at 88%. Despite this, experts suggest that the current dividend is becoming more secure following recent capital expenditures. However, with substantial debt at $215M, albeit at a manageable 1X cash flow ratio, there are mixed sentiments regarding growth potential, anticipated to be only around 5% this year. Moreover, the company is beneficially leveraged to rising oil prices but requires a bullish stance on oil to realize significant gains over the coming years.

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Consensus
Ok
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Valuation
Fair Value
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HOLD

It pays a 9.8% dividend. They bought a company a few months ago and did a big capital raise. With these companies you need the energy price to support you. They can pay out this dividend for a few more quarters yet. He anticipates some relief this winter.

TOP PICK

It is an oversold E&P. They did a financing that got messed up and then repriced. The circumstances really floored the stock price. It has almost a 10% yield, but it is not a red flag. The issue was at $5.75. Fundamentals will drive it higher. (Analysts’ target: $6.75).

TOP PICK

They did an acquisition, which was the right thing for them to do. They needed to get more light oil. They got bigger, lighter and got more drilling locations. Energy is out of favour. The underwriters judged the market incorrectly. Given how much the stock has pulled back, he sees tremendous value here. It has a 10% dividend. If oil gets above $50 you have a lot of torque and there has been a lot of insider buying in the last few days. (Analysts’ target: $7.00).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 29/16. Down 42.97%.) If you believe in $55 oil, $9 would be a very reasonable price for the stock. The company just did an acquisition which was not very well received. Selling at really cheap levels.

DON'T BUY

The stock has fallen below his last line, and once that happens it is un-investable for him. He would wait until after they have their write offs.

COMMENT

As long as oil prices stay over $40, the dividend should be safe. They are leveraged to oil prices, which have not done very well. Recently did an acquisition and had to issue a bunch of stock to finance it, which didn’t really go as well is what they had hoped. He likes management and the low-cost operating base. With anything over $50 in oil prices, this thing runs. Dividend yield of 9.09%.

DON'T BUY

After they made their large acquisition of assets in Western Canada, they did a reasonably large financing that didn’t go particularly well. The financing was only half sold. Financing was at $5.50, and the stock is at $4.71, so that block of stocks still needs to come out. Until you see that happen, there is not much point in buying this.

DON'T BUY

They just did a deal where they acquired some conventional assets, and the deal hasn’t gone that well. Energy prices hasn’t helped them. Traditionally this has been a pretty conservative company but on the lower end of things. He would rather have half their yield in something that was a little bigger and a little more diversified. There is no use in trying to be a hero in picking some of these smaller companies. 9.4% dividend yield.

COMMENT

Has done a very good job, but probably need a slightly higher oil price to make the numbers work. They just completely blew the financing. When that happens and there is nothing particularly wrong with the company or the acquisition, it’s a “prove me” acquisition and you need a slightly higher oil price. This could go sideways for a bit or go lower.

SELL

Technically, this is not looking good. It is in a downward trend and has actually been to new lows today. Wait until the stock shows signs of bottoming. Historically, energy stocks do not do well from around now until approximately October. Now is not a good time to own the stock and it is probably best to take your money off the table.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 27/16. Down 30%.) If someone were looking for income, he would describe this as a lower income oriented vehicle, which will get pretty decent production growth.

BUY

A good balance sheet, pretty conservative management that doesn’t drill above their cash flow. Believes the dividend is safe. Very, very cheap. When everything calms down, this should be a $9-$10 stock. Dividend yield of 6.4%.

DON'T BUY

He does not have a lot of comfort that the price of oil is going to go up a lot. He has a hard time getting excited and is not sure high dividends will be sustainable.

DON'T BUY

If you are going to expose yourself to heavy oil, there are far better names to own. A 12-year reserve life is not anything spectacular. This is a very low net-back business. Dividend yield of 6.7%.

COMMENT

They are planning on spending $100 million in CapX this year. Management is doing a great job. Has a great yield. It’s been really frustrating because there is not a lot of growth in the short term. They have really low decline wells, meaning production doesn’t fall off as quick in some of their mines.

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