Cameco Corporation (CCO.TO)

Has owned for a long time, rare for him. Consolidating right now. Might see more yo-yo action, but picture is good so far. As long as it doesn't truly break down, he'll stay in. Not a bad point to buy, but may tread water a while.

It just broke its previous 2007 high. CCO is at the heart of the current energy transition. Little uranium will come on stream in the next 5 years. So, there's a built-in glut. If you have a strong profit, sell half, but hold this long term. Expect volatility in all uranium.

Uranium sector off to a strong start in 2024. Contractual commitments a concern due to rising spot price (not maximizing revenue). Quesiton is whether production can be increased in Saskatchewan. Nuclear power trend moving in the right direction. Small modular reactors a promising development (new market for company). Recently sold on stock price strength. Would wait for weakness in shares before buying. Fundamentals look good.

Renaissance for nuclear energy. Lots of positive sentiment. With Westinghouse, changed business mix a bit, no longer as sensitive to uranium commodity price. Also gives them some servicing revenues. Likes the strategy. Revenue growth quite strong, cashflow strong. 

Valuation still too high, he's wary. Hot sector, a lot of money's rushed in. Buy on weakness.

Does not own shares in Uranium. Unsure on future of nuclear demand. Stigma is that nuclear energy is risky. Would prefer investing in oil/gas stocks. 

He likes uranium in the materials space and nuclear energy as a power source. It was the first in the materials sector to make a new high when materials turned higher. It is a big producer and recently exceeded its all time high. Earnings should be up a lot. He owns BWX Technologies (BWXT). It has been building small nuclear reactors for decades for the U.S. military and running them safely. It is now getting them commercialized and working with Ontario Power.

If not the best, one of the very-best-performing commodity stocks in Canada. With the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Canadian uranium's at a premium. Canadian uranium good, Russian uranium bad. Likes nuclear power, low on greenhouse gases, reliable, doesn't depend on wind or sun.

We think the uranium sector does still have room to run, and CCO is seen as the large cap 'go to' stock for global investors within the sector. It's not perfect (investors don't like its hedging programs) and not cheap on valuation, but EPS could potentially double this year and with good momentum in the sector it probably does go higher. 
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Closed Westinghouse joint venture with BEP.UN. Now fully integrated with designing, building, and maintaining nuclear reactors. Two world-class uranium mines in Canada, production will increase next year. Uranium price has popped. Tailwinds to earnings, more upside. Benefits from ESG.

Inability to predict Uranium prices makes business hard to value. Returns on capital are choppy. Not an asset light business. Capex very high. Resource based company, so would avoid. Better options available for investors. 

It's run up 85% this year because uranium prices have soared.  CCO mines difficult terrain, so mining it is expensive. There's more demand than supply for uranium now. But commodity prices are unpredictable and CCO has had a huge run up.

Reported strong earnings yesterday. Has good assets in fine jurisdictions, but that isn't adding to their profitability, which lags the market. Also, shares have run up.

This sector is on fire. CCO does well in September through the new year. The world's nuclear conference happens in September, then buys happen after. CCO earnings are greatest in Q1, because the deals are made in Q4. Great earnings today. Costs are declining as uranium prices rise. Everything is working for them. The stock has broke out this year, no question. Has price momentum. There's nothing bad to say about CCO.

He bought at $12 and sold at a profit.. He forecasts 17% downside. It's at its valuation high. The risk/reward isn't there.