
TSE:CAE
Likes this. Technically it got overbought in March. Was surprised that it hadn’t had a bit of a pullback before now. This is finding support just under $14. Stock is relatively safe because the big breakout that happened is a strong, solid breakout because it had been consolidating for several years. Feels the stock, over time, could go considerably higher, as much as into the $20 range.
Likes this a lot. There are a couple of things that bode well for them. Senior pilots on senior aircraft will retire and co-pilots will have to train for their seats. Those on lower planes will have to train to move up. There is a trickle-down effect across the whole fleet. In the industry, there are more passenger miles flown per year, which requires training. Revenue potential for CAE is probably about 15% per year over the next 3 years.
Last year they made an acquisition and spent a year integrating it while their margins were suffering. Finally last year, the margins started looking better and she thinks they will be good for the next little while. We are in the middle of the cycle where there are lots of new planes being sold, which is always good for them. They are the leader in simulators.
(A Top Pick Nov 29/12. Up 32.87%.) Investment thesis is that the world needs more planes which is in a very strong cycle. They are the leaders in simulator training. Suffered lately because of pullbacks in military spending, especially in the US, but they are a more cost-effective way of training and people are starting to realize that. Also, acquired the world’s largest global pilot training business. Can see a secular tailwind to this. Fastest-growing airlines are the Asian ones, which have an outsourcing pilot training model. Dividend yield of 1.93%.
Chart is showing an upward trend and the stock is slightly outperforming the Canadian market. Technically it looks pretty interesting at these levels. Historically, this stock has a period of seasonality going into the summer and goes up with most of the aerospace stocks. This is a winner, so stick with it.
Likes this business. This has a military and flight simulator component. Good technology and a leader in it. Margins have been dampened by softness in the military side. The flight simulator site is growing very well. Haven’t participated all that well yet, in the aerospace cycle and he would expect them to participate going forward. If it doesn’t happen over the next 6 months, it will happen within the year. Will probably be $20 stock at some point.
Recently announced about $120 million in new training contracts. They also announced about $110 million for the military side in New Zealand. They continue to gain new business, whether military or civil space. Yield of 1.7%.