TSE:CAE

CAE Inc (CAE.TO)

34.80
+0.35 (1.02%)
as of Sep 24, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
321 watching
0
TOP PICK

Expects it to bounce back after softness in the civil area. Airlines are going to be replacing their fleets. Expects military contracts to be awarded also. Concerns over softness in the military side have overshadowed the strengening civil area.

DON'T BUY

This has been an enigma for so many years because it is one of the only Canadian companies in the technology space that is the best in the world at what they do yet the stock never seems to go anywhere. Have since gotten into flight training which is a large division for them. Have taken their simulator technology and moved into medical, etc. They seem to have a lot of trouble delivering earnings growth and generating free cash flow.

TOP PICK

Tied to upgrade in aerospace industry. World leader in flight simulation and pilot training. Trades down on fears of military cuts. Brought down volatility in their earnings. Thinks it is unjustly cheap. Asian airlines are growing and have an outsourced training model.

TOP PICK

Offer flight training services as well as selling simulators services both in commercial and military. Worries about military spending has held the stock back recently but they have been announcing a lot of contracts on the civil side. New healthcare unit has shown that are capable of getting a few contracts. 2.2% dividend.

TOP PICK
Has been beaten up pretty badly. Historically have been exposed to very lumpy sales of their simulators. This is changing a little as they are getting more into pilot training. They are now 50% on the sales of simulators and 50% on the training side. People are worried that cutbacks in government spending will affect them but it hasn't happened to date.
BUY
Anywhere around $10 is a good opportunity. $13 in 12 months would be reasonable.
DON'T BUY
Stock is trading at depressed values because people are concerned about military spending, which is a big part of their contracts. Never liked that it had a lot of off balance sheet expenses. Very cyclical and not a Buy & Hold. 1.62% yield.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 17/11. Down 14.53%.)
TOP PICK
Flight simulator company. Extremely well balanced between military and commercial. Are getting big in offering training services as well. Deploying simulators into health care and mining and exploration. If you can buy around $10, you can see a reasonably good return over the next year or two.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 14/11. Down 7.99%.)
COMMENT
Had looked at this a lot in 2003-2005 when it was way out of favour and was at about half its current value. Doesn't interest him at this price point. Have done a great job overall in terms of marketing their product and revenue but their debt load is quite heavy relative to revenue. Has about a 50% upside based on historical values and he normally looks at a minimum 100%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 14/11. Down 18.38%.) He is looking to buy more. People have lost faith on the military side of their business, which is about half their business. Civil side has been picking up a bit. There are a lot more aircraft being ordered and their training programs are going to expand going forward. Have broadened out a little into the healthcare sector.
DON'T BUY
Benefiting from the replacement cycle in jets. The problem is, they are not really winning. He would prefer to be in one of the parts providers such as Precision Castparts (PCP-N), Triumph Group (TGI-N) and others.
TOP PICK
Big in flight simulators and have recently been expanding into health areas with patient simulators in endoscopy and ultrasound. Stock has been pulling off because of concerns of military spending going forward but their civil side remains quite strong.
BUY
You have to be aware that this is a lagging business in that you order the planes and then you order the simulators to train the pilots. Rise in airplane orders in the last few years will not create a rise in simulator orders for the next 1-2 years. It will be a good longer-term business.
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