Baytex Energy Corp (BTE.TO)

Had a good run this year and is up about 60%, but is down 80% from its highs. Hasn’t owned it for probably 3 years. Not the kind of thing he will be buying in the future.

(A Top Pick Aug 18/15. Up 13.69%.) *Short* It had been a pretty good trade for a while. He closed it off and actually went Long for a while, and then just sold out of it entirely. The company had an inordinately high level of debt and did things like suspending the dividend and a few other things, but they are still offside. It really just comes down to a bet on the commodity. Although oil is going to march higher, it is going to be range bound for a while.

Doesn’t have a great balance sheet, although it has fixed a fair bit of it. Extremely levered to price, because it is heavy blends of oil. If you think oil is going to $60, this is still a buy and it will go to $10. Because of the volatility it gives you chances to buy when oil is down. This is going to move a lot.

Had recommended this the last time he was on, and it is now up about 10%. Still sees upside. The Canadian energy sector has its problems, but he sees the problems more in the conventional oil wells and oil sands. This company has a high viscosity, but pumpable heavy oil where there is quite good market. They got themselves into a bit of a debt squeeze by buying into the Texas shales. They have a good position there, so if anybody comes back on stream in the next little while, that is where it will be. Anything over $45-$50 and they can make money. This has some real potential, and he believes the price of oil is going to drift up into the $50 range.

Had been one of the higher dividend paying stocks, but slashed their dividends like the others. Had a bit of a debt issue when they paid top price for an acquisition a few years ago. Prefers Husky (HSE-T).

He owns another name in the sector that ranks ahead of it. It has price momentum because a lot of stocks were left for dead and now have roared back. It looks fairly good here, but keep a good stop on it if you own it.

This has had a really nice bounce off its lows. It is very crude oil levered. She thinks it will survive.

(Market Call Minute.)

Year-to-date this is up 88%, which looks fantastic, but doesn’t mean a lot when you have lost 90% in the last 2 years. The balance sheet continues to be a big concern, and are going to have to continue to work on that. They have 3 big assets they can work with. Doesn’t see the dividend being restored anytime soon. Production is still about 75,000 barrels a day. Something he is not going to be rushing back into.

Calgary-based oil company and took on quite a bit of debt just before oil prices collapsed. At this stage, the debt load is still relatively high. However, with oil prices recovering to $50, and might get to $60 by year-end, they have a lot of leverage to the upside. If you are positive on the oil price, this is one that you should definitely own.

Hasn’t been following this closely, however it is one that he has been taking a serious look at recently. A very well-managed company. Good properties and good management. Thinks they are quite leveraged to rising commodity prices.

This is all over the place, and it is a fun one to play. You want to watch the volumes as opposed to levels. It is pretty hard to do anything with a stock like this, except to trade it.

Did a big acquisition a couple of years ago which had too much debt. A combination of Canadian heavy oil and US shale oil. The good news is that they bought really good assets in the Eagleford. Has a lot of debt, but they are going to survive, and he thinks it is a good Buy here.

Given that they don’t have to pay a dividend any more, free cash flow would come down to maintenance capital to maintain flat production levels. His guess is that it would be in the mid-$40, because their heavy oil required a price of around $33-$34 for about half the production, and the remaining half is liquids rich gas plus light oil. If you own, consider trimming.

(Market Call Minute.) This had a huge move, and has reached his fundamental target.