
TSE:BTE
Year-to-date this is up 88%, which looks fantastic, but doesn’t mean a lot when you have lost 90% in the last 2 years. The balance sheet continues to be a big concern, and are going to have to continue to work on that. They have 3 big assets they can work with. Doesn’t see the dividend being restored anytime soon. Production is still about 75,000 barrels a day. Something he is not going to be rushing back into.
Calgary-based oil company and took on quite a bit of debt just before oil prices collapsed. At this stage, the debt load is still relatively high. However, with oil prices recovering to $50, and might get to $60 by year-end, they have a lot of leverage to the upside. If you are positive on the oil price, this is one that you should definitely own.
Given that they don’t have to pay a dividend any more, free cash flow would come down to maintenance capital to maintain flat production levels. His guess is that it would be in the mid-$40, because their heavy oil required a price of around $33-$34 for about half the production, and the remaining half is liquids rich gas plus light oil. If you own, consider trimming.
One of the better energy companies. It is heavy oil, but is pumpable heavy oil, and the Canadian Western select price has done quite well. They also have a significant holding in the Eagleford Texas shales, which could be back in the limelight at $50+. A well-managed company. Still a risky situation.
You are buying leveraged oil. If you think oil is going to go up in price, then this is a great play. If you think oil will go down in price, not a great idea. It has heavy oil composition and large debt. We are up to the resistance point right now. The seasonal period ends May 9th. Sell on strength.
He was Short this recently. Has a lot of debt. There is no imminent danger of them breaking their covenants. A good operating team and have some good assets in the Eagleford which are performing very well. Heavy oil assets at these prices do not make money. Thinks it is vulnerable to a correction. Once oil goes over $50, they start making money, and investors will start to get pretty excited about it.
He owns another name in the sector that ranks ahead of it. It has price momentum because a lot of stocks were left for dead and now have roared back. It looks fairly good here, but keep a good stop on it if you own it.