
TSE:BNS
This summary was created by AI, based on 30 opinions in the last 12 months.
The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) presents a mixed outlook among experts. While many see it as a long-term hold with solid fundamentals, including a strong dividend yield of around 4.5%, there are concerns about its lagging performance compared to peers and uncertainty surrounding its recent strategic decisions, such as the investment in KEY. Some analysts express optimism about the new management's direction and potential for growth, particularly in U.S. and international markets, while highlighting improvements in capital ratios and clean-ups in operations. Despite a recent uptick in share price and general strength in Canadian banks, several experts recommend caution, suggesting trimming positions or holding off on new investments until clearer opportunities arise due to concerns over the housing market and the credit cycle. Overall, BNS is recognized for its international focus and potential for recovery but still faces questions about its strategic execution and market position.
Relative valuation has taken a bit of a hit lately, because in their recent quarter they reported a bit of a hiccup in their international operations. It is fairly rare that you are able to buy this bank for a lower Price to Book valuation than its competitors. At current levels, it’s a pretty good place to be. In the meantime, you are being paid 3.8% dividend yield and that dividend is likely to go up in the coming years. Tier 1 capital of about 10.9%.
Last results were a bit lumpier than people were hoping for. New CEO is probably putting his stamp on a number of things. Given that there were some job cuts, the big potential worry for him would be on the Latin American side, is that a one-off or will it be dragging into the future. Given the yield, valuation is very compelling, compared to the other banks. He would like to wait another quarter.
Cutting 1500 jobs. That always disturbs him when he sees a very profitable company chopping jobs, possibly for shorter-term reasons. This is a great franchise like all Canadian banks, plus they have their operations in Latin America and the Caribbean. They seem to have run into some issues in some of those places. Canadian banking sector is the most expensive globally on a price to book valuation. Dividend is rock solid. In a strong financial condition. He wouldn't look at this unless there was a pullback.
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T) or Bank of America (BAC-N)? By owning a Canadian bank like this, you can take advantage of the Canadian dividend tax credit, which basically means a lot. Secondly, if you are going to buy something in the US, you are paying up for it, and that implies a potential exchange risk down the way. This is a great way of playing the Canadian economy as well as emerging markets.
Since 1974 the compound return on banks has been 17%. A remarkable place to be. There has never been a 10 year period where you have not doubled your money in Canadian banks. They have a license to print money. There is absolutely no competition. Canadian economy is going to grow at 1%-2%, while the US economy is going to grow at 2%-3%.
The interesting thing about Canadian financial institutions is that the valuation ranges are not that wide. You have to remember that they are the one outside of Canada with holdings in Latin America and emerging markets. He prefers Toronto Dominion (TD-T), which trades at about the same valuation, but with a little faster earnings growth. There is nothing wrong with this.
This is the most diversified international Canadian bank. They have operations in the Caribbean, South and Central America. Has always been a very well managed bank from a credit perspective. All of the banks have pulled back a little. 3.9% yield. Thinks earnings over the next couple of years are going to go over $6 a share. This is at a very reasonable price and he is expecting 10X future earnings in a couple of years.
They have a new CEO, took a write-off. They got a multiple for being in high growth areas, but some of those countries are slowing down. They are doing the right thing now and it will benefit them down the road.