
TSE:BBD.B
He doesn’t like this company and has never owned it. It took a bet on the C series plane, and they poorly executed on it. They actually don’t have enough orders to start production. Had massive overruns. They’ve had to cut their dividend and do an issue in order to clean up their balance sheet a little.
This is quite a controversial company. He has not recommended this one for some period of time. It is highly levered. Has been very disappointed in the development of the C series. Having a flight test very soon, so a lot of what happens to the stock will be dependent on the results of that. Recently had to do quite a large issue. At these levels, this is a speculation rather than an investment.
Chart is showing lower highs and lower lows. It is not too favourable. Industrials tend to do well this time of year, but this company is actually an exception to that. From the start of the year all the way through to the end of March, it tends to be very volatile. Once you get past the volatility, from about late March all the way through to the end of June, it has had a pretty respectable seasonal run with gains averaging about 12%. Do you want to sell and take a loss here when it is definitely oversold and there is a potential seasonal spurt coming up?
There is a lot of uncertainty in their outlook. Somewhat speculative. It all rides on their C series program. They recently downgraded their cash flow guidance and are shutting down their Lear jet program. There was concern about the liquidity in their balance sheet. On their transportation side, margins keep getting lowered.
Has not owned in 10 years and it got to the point that sentiment was just so low. They came out with a new issue that was oversubscribed. The equity along with the debt offering was more than enough to fund the `C` series. The new CEO knows aerospace very well. He comes from a corporate culture strong in margin improvement and cost reduction. The plane is going to the Paris air show in June. She puts it in her growth accounts.