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TSE:ATH
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Athabasca Oil Sands Corp (ATH-T) is regarded positively by various experts, with many highlighting its potential for significant growth in the energy sector. Analysts recognize how the company's strong balance sheet and share buyback strategy contribute to its appeal, while the overall energy market is anticipated to benefit from positive momentum over the next six to nine months. ATH-T is also viewed as well-positioned to take advantage of increased pipeline capacity in Canada, along with an expected rise in global oil demand. Technical indicators suggest a positive long-term trend, despite some short-term pressures. With forecasts of substantial upside potential, many experts recommend purchasing shares now to capitalize on future growth opportunities.
Has a $10-$11 NAV. Had a Put with China that came to fruition recently, which guarantees financing. There is a rumour that Encana (ECA-T) would come in and be their joint venture partner in the Duvernay. There is lots of value here, but it needs one more catalyst. He has a small amount in a resource fund that he manages.
They are finally getting their $1.2 billion payment from Petro China, so they will have the money to spend on the rest of their oil sands properties and the Duverney play, of which both are promising, but right now the production base is very small and they need to spend a lot of money. Thinks they have a lot of upside in terms of their reserve/resource production. It really depends on management to execute. Higher risk, so it should be a smaller position in your portfolio.
(A Top Pick July 18/13. Down 4.42%.) Still waiting for the $1.3 billion to come through from Petro China for the Dover oil sands. The longer the time goes on, the less people believe the money is actually coming in. Even without that money coming in, he feels the stock is worth more than where it is trading currently. Light oil assets alone are worth $7-$8.
(A Top Pick July 30/13. Down 1.79%.) Had been on the verge of getting $1.3 billion from a Chinese company, and this is still dragging on. The $1.3 billion is now going to be $1.23 billion. There have also been recent headlines that some Chinese executives that were involved have been arrested. He would rather invest in others. If you own, you could get a gap up if they eventually get the proceeds, which he thinks they will. Continue to Hold.
If you own, you have to stick around to see if the Put that is about to get exercised, actually happens. There has been some chatter in the street lately about things going on in China and if Petro China going to put cash back in this company’s hands. If that doesn’t happen, that is a bad thing, but he thinks it probably will happen.
He is a little nervous on names like this. The potential is there. The reservoir looks attractive and reserves look attractive, but you have funding issues. It is not a producing mainstream player in the oil sands yet, so you take a huge amount of risk. At best this would be a Hold.