
TSE:ARE
Within the engineering/construction companies, this is probably one of the better valued ones. They are not trading at all-time highs, and had a significant downdraft a few months ago, of which they have recovered about half. They are lagging the group, and part of the reason for that is that they had a bit more of a Western exposure. This company has significant operations in Ontario. Very well-run.
In general, for engineering companies, people have bought them on the expectation that there is all the infrastructure spending to happen. There has been an awful lot of talk, but not a lot of follow-through yet. If you are a short-term investor, you should not be near the stocks, but if a long-term investor, this is creating an opportunity. (See Top Picks.)
He never buys more of a stock, never averages down. He did not have holdings going into this earnings miss. It was middle of the pack on price momentum and is now near the bottom of the pack. He would wait for this to settle out. It could go a lot lower. It has a low ROE of 3.7%. There is no debt problem and that is the saving grace.
This had a horrible, horrible performance in terms of numbers. Very light on revenue and very light on earnings. It has brought the valuation down to a more reasonable level of about 12.5X forward earnings. The backlog is still $4.6-$4.7 billion. In the construction/engineering space, you get these large contracts where timing sort of screws up results. It is pretty common to have these companies swing around in terms of numbers. You have to be a little brave to step in.
This is a continuation of the federal infrastructure spend being double for the next 5 years, compared to what it has been in the last 5 years. Lots of money going into the space. It has a record backlog of about $3.5 billion, which is going to be over $4 billion of work that is lined up. They continue to win contracts as they go. Dividend yield of 2.67%.
Stumbled a little, giving you an opportunity. Management believes that municipal and provincial spend are really going to kick in later in 2017. Any weakness in oil and gas is outweighed from an increase in oil and gas distribution and from their nuclear refurbishment. Their mining segment is really poised for recovery. He is modelling 24% EPS growth from 2016 to 2018 with a 57% payout ratio. Trading below its five-year average. Dividend yield of 2.94%. (Analysts’ price target is $18.12.)