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TSE:ARE
Aecon (ARE-T) or Stantec (STN-T)? A great Canadian stable company. He uses it as a dampening mechanism in his portfolios. There is a lot of infrastructure to be done. A great, consistent business. Every time he has made an assessment of these 2, he has gone with this one. The stock is now at the higher level of his valuation, so he owns the bonds.
This will get its fair share of infrastructure spending that governments are planning on. They do a lot of business in the mining and oil/gas business. Thinks it is going to be a very difficult environment for manufacturing and infrastructure that is not government related. He is somewhat apprehensive about this company being able to grow its earnings, because of the weakness in the energy patch. Even if this recovers, it is going to be a long time before there are major investments, as companies are going to have to pay back their debts first.
He is modelling that they can grow cash flow per share compounded over the next couple of years at 15%. Trading at a discount to its 5 year average and at a price/cash flow of 7.1. Has a record backlog right now. A nice dividend with a low payout ratio, which can be easily boosted over time. The only issue is that their energy segment is a little challenged.
Convertible 5.5% bond due Dec 1/18. This can be swapped for stock at $19. The company’s balance sheet is very conservative, so he knows he is going to get paid back at the end of the day. This is also a play on the provincial and federal infrastructure plays. One 3rd to half of revenues comes from public ventures such as subways, etc.
One of those great Canadian names that is benefiting from that trend of becoming a $1 billion company. Have a massive backlog, which is up over 50% year-over-year. Valuation is reasonable at 6-6.5X EBITDA.