NYSEARCA:XLI

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI)

182.66
+0.72 (0.40%)
as of Jul 24, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 25, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 4 opinions in the last 12 months.

The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) is recognized as a leading exchange-traded fund in the industrial sector, benefiting from a strong performance in the U.S. economy this year. With a low management expense ratio of 0.08%, it offers a significant upside potential of 18% from its current levels, with a recommended stop-loss in place. The fund's holdings are strategically split between manufacturing and aerospace companies, making it a diversified choice for investors looking at cyclical economic rebounds. Experts believe that the combination of improving global markets, infrastructure buildout opportunities, and seasonal factors supports a favorable outlook for XLI and its US-centered holdings, particularly during this seasonal period. Overall, the sentiment is positive, given the underlying economic indicators and market conditions.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
CAT
BUY
Industrials are the place to be if we're heading to a slowdown though not recession. Most industrials are in mid-10x PE compared to Apple's 26x. Caterpillar and John Deere will offer higher earnings growth than Apple.
TOP PICK
It includes Lockheed-Martin, so scores low in ESG (fighter jets) but also holds Union Pacific and Caterpillar. This is on sale, because it hasn't performed well.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 03/20, Up 29%) Large sector ETF. Did well. As the economy opens up, he prefers sectors like banks, utilities, etc.
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The industrial sector should see growth from global economic growth and increased government spending on infrastructure. Buyable at these levels. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WAIT
Prior to today it was not a bad idea but with this rally we had, wait and see what shakes out over the next few days.
TOP PICK
As tech has pushed up the broad markets this year during Covid, financials and industrials have been left behind, but they will rise in the coming recovery as a sign of the global economy healing and the global cycle taking off. We see early indications that momentum is starting to return in the industrial sector.
WAIT

Industrial US ETF? In the US industrial sector he sees it as being a tough place to be lately. He would look at some of the BMO family of ETFs. You have to be careful that you are not too concentrated (ie. Boeing). He has owned XLI. He has a neutral view on the space and would probably wait.

DON'T BUY
ETFs do offer a basket of stocks, but we are going to see pressure on free cash flows in revenues for these companies. Quality of individual companies will be very important going forward. Holding ETFs may prove to be a disservice going forward. Analysts are expecting the Industrial sector earnings to be off 20% in Q2 -- second worst, only to energy down 27%. This is not a sector he is interested in right now. He would prefer to wait and pick up individual companies when the recovery begins.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 20/17, Up 1%) Likes this because it focuses on industrials, getting away from energy, financials and materials which dominate the TSX. This offers diversification.
COMMENT

SPDR Industrial (XLI-N) or SPDR Technology (XLK-N)? He likes the industrial space and the technology area as well. If you are asking for a very timely standpoint, technology came down a little in the last week or so, so he would probably buy XLK-N right now. He wouldn’t necessarily buy this one just for tax reform and corporate tax cuts. That’s something which would help earnings, and will certainly help a lot of industrial names.

TOP PICK

This has some of his favourite stuff in it, such as defence stocks, plus a lot of industrial stuff.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 27/16. Up 12.15%.) Chart shows a consolidation phase running from April through to October inclusive, then getting hit with the Trump Bump. It has run up a lot. Structurally he still thinks it is good. The next seasonal period goes from January 23 to May 5. If it becomes a little bit weaker, who consider exiting, and look for it to come back in the 2nd seasonal period.

TOP PICK

Manufacturing in the US tends to do well from Oct 28 until the end of the year. It is up 7% average in that time. It outperforms the S&P 78% of the time. It is setting up a case for a positive breakout possibly until the end of May.

COMMENT

SPDR Technology (XLK-N) or SPDR Industrial (XLI-N)? If you are going to invest primarily in seasonals, you want to be more into industrials rather than technology. Industrials enter this next leg of period of seasonal strength from about mid January all the way to May. Charts are showing higher highs and higher lows. His preference would be this one.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 28/14. Up 5.75%.) Picked this up Oct 27 and just recently sold it, because the industrial sector can have a little bit of weakness in January. However, it has another seasonal period coming up Jan 23 to May 5.

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