Stockchase Opinions

Tyler Mordy Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund XLI-N PAST TOP PICK Jul 15, 2021

(A Top Pick Nov 03/20, Up 29%) Large sector ETF. Did well. As the economy opens up, he prefers sectors like banks, utilities, etc.
$102.695

Stock price when the opinion was issued

E.T.F.'s
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

BUY
Global conflicts tend to wreak havoc on markets, but defense companies tend to benefit. At 10 bps, gives you exposure to aerospace and defense. He likes the diversification, and it avoids the idiosyncratic risk of holding individual stocks.
SHORT
He's shorting industrials which performed well in 2022, but not this year. Industrials are the most levered to the economic cycle, so industrials (at best) are at slight discount to the market.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

XLI charges only 10 basis points, pays a small 1.58% dividend yield, but it holds some heavy hitters: Honeywell, UPS, Union Pacific, Boeing, Raytheon and Caterpillar in that order. Yes, GE also sits in this basket, but so do Lockheed Martin and Deere. The biggest holding, Honeywell, has exposure to defense, but more so automation in manufacturing, a growing area and one that’s needed in the current labour shortage. Read: Canadian Tire, Savaria & XLI

TOP PICK

Large industrials are strong seasonally from late October to end-Decemeber, then January into May. If we see rotation out of tech, industrials will benefit. He expects this to happen. XLI is currently at support.

DON'T BUY

Given all the economic uncertain, the agriculture sector isn't willing to invest in capital equipment (i.e. Deere), so this sector lacks investor excitement.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 31/23, Up 14%)

Seasonal stock that will continue to own. Jan-May good time to own shares. Will continue to own. Recent pullback a good time to buy. 

BUY

Likes industrials in the US compared to other sectors because there's growth here.

TOP PICK

He likes US industrials. XLI has done well but can go higher. The rally in the US is expanding beyond megatech already. Aerospace and defense on drivers, and this holds big names like Raytheon.

BUY
Likes it, but it has BA.

Broadly speaking, likes industrials. Top names here:  CAT, RTX, GE, UBER, UNP. BA would be in the top 10, but #10 at this point. In general, infrastructure spend will be higher. Overall US economy is not going into recession, so some of these names are undervalued. This sector has room to catch up to technology. Brand-new 52-week high today.

Makes a lot of sense. Also consider PAVE.

HOLD

Industrials have done very well for him, but are now expensive at 24x forward PE, higher than the S&P. Industrials are cyclical, too.