50% off Premium Yearly

TSE:WJA
Has held the stock right from its IPO. This is in a cyclical and very difficult industry. There are a select few of business models globally, that over time consistently make money. Airlines have a few key imports such as fuel, labour and capital costs. People are a very big part of the business, and a really good business model globally, consistently makes money for shareholders with very good relationships with employees. This company ties in their employees with options and profit sharing. His target is $33.
Over the long-term, the airline industry has been a very bad sector for investors. This industry, particularly in the US, is going through a great deal of structural change with an immense amount of consolidation and cost-cutting going towards more efficient planes. Less price competition and more rational behaviour. There is some concern about competition and if the good times can keep happening. Prefers Air Canada, but has a positive outlook for both.
He is a firm believer that if you own an airline, it is a Trade only, not a long-term investment. This one has been a good stock to be in, but generally this is a trade only and is very cyclical. Declining Cdn$ hurts their cross-border traffic. Good economies help them. Another thing that has helped them is the consolidation in the North American airline industry in the US. This stock has probably got hurt recently by probably getting overvalued, a weaker Cdn$, but have also gone into a lot of expansion into regional markets. The good days are gone here for now and he would wait for it to stop going down, which doesn’t look like it is happening here.
Air Canada (AC.B-T) or WestJet (WJA-T)? The airline model is a highly leveraged model. Very high fixed costs. As revenues go up or expenses are cut, it can create a huge change in earnings. This one is growing nicely with revenues up about 7% for the year. They have less cost-cutting to do so there is less change taking place. They are being helped by fuel prices being muted, which is likely to continue.
Stock has done incredibly well and the company is doing well. The airline cycle is going on and hasn’t been ruined yet by putting on more capacity and irrational competition. We are seeing additional capacity coming on but, so far, the demand is there. It is quite possible that it continues to move up from here.
He is not a fan or airline stocks. It has a nice little trend.