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Westjet AirlinesWJA.TOBUYJan 23, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Dec 13, 2019. Market Open.
A really interest deal with Onex. He has been a long term fan for years. His first professional 10 bagger. He is not convinced Onex over paid -- they probably saw this as a great time -- comparable to US peers. He thinks the regulators will approve the deal.
In the past, he has favoured WestJet because its management is disciplined, they operated a single type of plane, they had happy non-unionized employees, and they focused on the Canadian market. But then they decided they wanted to be Air Canada. They operate several types and sizes of planes on more routes--if he had to invest in an airline now, it probably would NOT be Westjet. They were the Southwest of Canada but they have destroyed what they had, WestJet’s share price has been drifting sideways while Air Canada’s has been rising. He asserted that WestJet’s problems are all self-inflicted.
Air Canada (AC.B-T) or WestJet (WJA-T)? The airline model is a highly leveraged model. Very high fixed costs. As revenues go up or expenses are cut, it can create a huge change in earnings. This one is growing nicely with revenues up about 7% for the year. They have less cost-cutting to do so there is less change taking place. They are being helped by fuel prices being muted, which is likely to continue.