Whitecap ResourcesWCP.TOPARTIAL BUYJan 07, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
All-time high today. Meaningfully mispriced. Top assets in Montney and Duvernay. Sell your ARX right now and buy this. Continues to beat quarter after quarter after quarter. CEO has the most aggressive insider buying of any company he follows in Canada.
Potential takeover (but, he really hopes, not anytime soon). Yield is 4.48%.
Is a huge fan of CNQ, but be cautious in energy now. If you own energy, sit tight and hold your gains. Valuations have risen a lot, though may not persist for long. He prefers CNQ. Is a strong compounder and return cash flow to shareholders while they reduce debt. He doesn't know where the price of oil is going.
One of his largest positions. Lagged, up "only" 27% this year. In prime position to get re-rated. By buying VRN, increased market cap. Now has size and scale. 25+ years of tier 1 (ultra-economic) drilling inventory. CEO is one of the few who actively buys shares on the open market. Continues to drill some of the best wells in the Basin.
A projected 7x multiple at $80 oil would give you a $25 share price, 69% upside. Yield is 4.95%.
Great long term. Growth story to buy on dips. From a cyclical perspective, after the current rally, he'd be a seller at this point. Take a look at the 5-year chart.
It also depends whether you hold it in a taxable account or not. He's pretty sure we're going to go through a time when it's like 2022-2024 -- stock will go sideways and potentially lose you money.
If you're a trader in a registered account, sell sell sell sell. If you're a long-term buy-and-holder, trim a bit or buy some put protection. Don't throw new $$ at it. We're headed back to $60 oil.
Another name with a good yield for the income investor. Largest weight in his fund at almost 12%.
Quality of management team and quality of assets are still misunderstood. At 5.1x, trades at material discount to peers. Beat expectations 8 or 9 quarters in a row. Healthy dividend of 6.2% is sustainable down to $50-51 oil. Ongoing, extraordinarily good well results in Montney, Duvernay, and elsewhere. Expects multiple expansion over time.
$60 oil would mean share price of $19, $70 oil means a price of $23.
Good quality assets, has grown production. Management's done a great job. Cares about shareholder value -- buys back shares, increases dividend. Trouble is that oil and gas have been very difficult environments over the last while.
He owns CNQ and SU -- stabilizes you a bit when you're worried about the price of oil. Don't get the upside of the smaller players, but don't get as much downside either.
Doesn't own, but he can see the case for it. Especially with the assets it's been able to consolidate, now much more stable and powerful than a few years ago. He'd prefer other names ahead of it -- CNQ, ARX (likes the condensate over light oil). He wants the best operators and the most stable long-term outlook.
ENB is a great long-term hold. Has come off again recently. In his portfolios, weighting of pipeline/infrastructure/renewables/utilities over producers is 3:1. Dividend yield over 5%.
He'd own some of both. Diversification is always good. For a young investor, you want to help them learn. (Ryan always tells the hockey team he coaches that "You learn more from losing than from winning." ;) This pairing can show them how different stocks move at different times. When the market's doing really well and oil prices are running, you'll see that reflected in WCP. When they're not, you'll see the stability of ENB.
Owns a bit in his dividend income fund. Great yield of ~7%, which he thinks is sustainable at current prices. If WTI oil moved down to $40-45 for any prolonged period, dividend might be cut. Great management, well run and well diversified. Some heavy crude (of concern with Venezuela), but a lot is lighter oil and natural gas, with some condensate.
He wouldn't have any problem buying it today, and look to add it if falls below $10. He tends to buy it below $10 and trim between $11-12 (though merger with VRN last year is new source of upside with the larger inventory base).