Whitecap ResourcesWCP.TOBUYAug 05, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 05, 2026. Market Open.
The oil floor has risen since the US-Iran war, but alot of supply will come in soon. The oil price will test $70. Sanctions lifted, Iran can sell at market prices. Canadian producers are well-positioned. The CAD is at 70 cents, which means C$90 a barrel (based on US$70 barrels). He likes WCP; they've consolidated into a sizable-enough player.
All-time high today. Meaningfully mispriced. Top assets in Montney and Duvernay. Sell your ARX right now and buy this. Continues to beat quarter after quarter after quarter. CEO has the most aggressive insider buying of any company he follows in Canada.
Potential takeover (but, he really hopes, not anytime soon). Yield is 4.48%.
Is a huge fan of CNQ, but be cautious in energy now. If you own energy, sit tight and hold your gains. Valuations have risen a lot, though may not persist for long. He prefers CNQ. Is a strong compounder and return cash flow to shareholders while they reduce debt. He doesn't know where the price of oil is going.
One of his largest positions. Lagged, up "only" 27% this year. In prime position to get re-rated. By buying VRN, increased market cap. Now has size and scale. 25+ years of tier 1 (ultra-economic) drilling inventory. CEO is one of the few who actively buys shares on the open market. Continues to drill some of the best wells in the Basin.
A projected 7x multiple at $80 oil would give you a $25 share price, 69% upside. Yield is 4.95%.
27% gas, the rest is oil. Now the 5th largest oil producer in Canada. Market cap of $20B. Extremely well run. Lots of contiguous land, long reserve life. Probably one of the strongest takeout candidates. Trades ~5x cashflow, with considerable upside.
With ARX being taken out, more institutions will be interested. Yield is 4.6%.