Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has grown cashflows, very encouraging. Taking share from LYFT. Over several years stock's been volatile, but hasn't done that much due to looming robotaxis and autonomous vehicles. If that picks up steam, competitive dynamics change; UBER would move from handling both supply and demand, to being just one of many suppliers chasing demand.
Multiple's come down, showing good fundamentals. Watch the space. Waymo has no experience in the space, whereas Uber's really well positioned. That partnership will work well at first, but it's the future he's concerned about.
Largest ride-sharing and delivery company in the world. Great business model. His son at university uses it all the time (and Richard's paying for it). New CEO has done a spectacular job. Profits are on the rise. Ride-sharing is slightly less than 1% of all driving, massive opportunity ahead. Expanding to smaller cities. Robotaxis are in their future. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $88.64)Missed 2 key metrics. Past year has been quite sideways, more of a trading stock. Above 200-day MA, but that 200-day MA has been quite flat. Forward earnings estimates have ratcheted down a bit, but you're still paying ~30x forward PE. That's problematic. 200-week MA seems to be steadily moving higher.
Longer term, will face lots of competition in the space as well as regulatory risk.
Not sure if this news is a huge positive for GM, but it affirms that driverless cars are a serious thing. Uber is expensive at 40x PE, but has 40% earnings growth forecast and mints free cash flow at 4.5% free cash flow yield. She's keep holding this.