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TC EnergyTRP.TOHOLDOct 15, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 15, 2026. Market Open.
Its growth is in the 7 to 8% range. It has a huge backlog of projects and is adding more. Has superior management which has started an AI initiative for optimizing its pipeline. His expectation of natural gas prices is that they will go nowhere in North America. Natural gas is above the 5 year storage levels and a milder winter is expected. It needs more liquification facilities in Western Canada.
Pulled down toward the 200-day MA, so an opportunity to pick up shares. RSI is down around 29, indicating it's oversold. Nice, steady name with pretty low beta (half that of the TSX). For the conservative, dividend part of your portfolio. Yield is 4% and safe, expected to increase over coming years.
Pipeline names serve an important need in a portfolio for those who are income-focused. Sector's been hot, valuations have come up dramatically. If you own, continue to hold. Growth outlook quite strong.
Pipelines will definitely benefit from the need for power for AI. But they can't ship more than is already allocated, so they don't get as much operating leverage as some other companies.
Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities for safety, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not). This name will give you a good dividend and safety. You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Classic bond proxy squeeze. Names with really good growth (KEY, ALA) won't do as poorly. High quality, but growing at only 6%. Trades ~20x PE. Executing well. Strong beat last quarter. Another $7.7B in sanctioned projects. Expanded backlog. Guided to upper end of range.
Will start to do well once yields come down. Don't expect anything from it in the next year.