Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

Would prefer TOU over VET. The challenge is the stressed balance sheet for these energy providers. VET has some of the worst price momentum, value, volatility and earnings profile in terms of current return on equity. They can move quickly if they look like they will survive. If you are looking for a huge amount of leverage and upside for a recovery, you could own VET but TOU is the more stable choice.

Natrual gas prices? The 2021 strip price for AECO is over $2. That will work for strong balance sheet producers like TOU, NVA (60% natural gas), and ARX.

How will their spin-out be a catalyst? They created the spinout, but haven't IPOd yet (https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/tourmaline-announces-formation-of-topaz-energy-unlocking-value-in-tourmaline-s-significant-asset-base-867903254.html) They took the bull by the horns in a poor sentiment environment of low natural gas prices, worse then oil. So, they created Topaz, a royalty infrastructure company. These companies trade at a big premium which attracts better investor sentiment. Topaz just bought land from Painted Pony and bought a private as well as public company. They consolidated land and infrastructure in northeast BC. They can use Topaz to sell some of that infrastructure to reduce the cost. It's a great way to reduce their cost of capital. They can download assets to Topaz. He sees a lot of upside for TOU to do acquisitions.