TSE:TOU

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

62.33
-0.06 (0.10%)
as of Jul 17, 2026, 7:48:54 pm Market Open.
836 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJul 17, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer, with strong management and a significant market position in the Montney region. While the stock has been somewhat range-bound recently, oscillating between $58 and $70, many analysts express optimism about its future potential, primarily driven by the ramp-up of LNG Canada and infrastructural investments that are expected to bolster cash flow in the long run. Experts highlight the company's good dividend yield and its ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency. Though some have noted the volatility in the energy market, particularly due to geopolitical factors like the US-Iran conflict, the consensus seems to favor TOU as a solid long-term investment given its strategic initiatives and assets. Concerns about short-term profitability and capex versus shareholder returns remain, but the outlook for natural gas demand and pricing appears constructive over the next few years.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Undervalued
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Similar
ARX,ARX
DON'T BUY

He doesn't like the oil sector. Don't buy weakness in a strong market. Hard to make money in an unloved sector, oil. No uptick here. ESG and coronavirus are headwinds. CNQ or Suncor are the very top stocks in this sector and are the only serious considerations.

SELL
Canada is awash in Natural Gas. There is not enough pipeline capacity to get it to market. These companies are neglected by investors.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

He really likes this company, although he does not own it presently. Insiders have been buying regularly. They are generating excess cash flow and have plans to improve the balance sheet, buy back shares and perhaps raise the dividend later on. New facilities are coming on line and this will help bump up total production. A table pounding buy below $13. Book value is $28. A big LNG project on the west coast would benefit this company. Yield 3.5%

TOP PICK
Management has big inside ownership. They monetized some of their infrastructure. It gives them liquidity to buy assets in other Nat gas names that remain very depressed. It is catalyst rich so there should be a robust pipeline of deals. (Analysts’ price target is $20.43)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It has a decent balance sheet. 7-8% dividend paid monthly. They don't have a debt problem. It might get hit by tax loss selling. They have a respected management team.
BUY
They were trading at values lower than reserve values. They are initiating their first share buyback this year. One analyst has a $26 price target for them. They are a big natural gas producer, and we are heading into a colder than normal winter outlook. When you can buy a quality company at these levels, where management is investing heavily themselves and it trades at 3 times cash flow, you can't go wrong.
COMMENT

Market Outlook TOU-T is planning to spin off some of their infrastructure into a royalty like offering, while retaining 80% of the value. Prior to this the stock was trading at all time lows and the market was giving zero value to the infrastructure they held. The company was trading at 3 times cash flow. The assets they are effectively selling are being valued at 9 times cash flow within the offering. This should remind people how undervalued this space is and there are self-adjusting opportunities that will "fix the funk" we see today. ARX-T has a similar 20% of its company in similar infrastructure. Once we get past the upcoming Federal election things should move forward. What a party says on the campaign trail and what happens in reality can be two very different things. The Liberals appear to support the TMX pipeline project in reality and it will ultimately get built, he says. 11% of our GDP in Canada comes from the energy sector.

TOP PICK
The biggest gas producer in Canada. 19% liquids. 4.5% yield. They are paying down debt from cash flow. (Analysts’ price target is $22.13)
SELL

In an RRSP If not sheltered, sell it. He has sold all his oil stocks, which face so many obstacles. 2019 will be the hardest year for Alberta oil with many operators going out of business. There's no solution to get our oil to the world. He supports moving away from fossil fuels. Jean Chretian once told him, "Too many economists, not enough engineering," meaning political policy and science do not work in synch when it comes to fossil and renewables. We should focus more on science to get greener (buildings, transit, rails).

HOLD
They are making the transition from moving from dry natural gas into more liquids. The market has not bought into it yet. At these commodity prices the liquids business is cash flow positive and in two years time it should be trading at 2 times cash flow. Very well run company producing close to 300,000 boed. (Analysts’ price target is $23.00)
DON'T BUY

Trading at half book value! She has not held any Canadian oil & gas producers over the past two years. Takeaway issues and LNG projects need to be resolved first. Show would not recommend it.

DON'T BUY

Well-managed that's executed as they promised, but the stock has been destroyed. Good balance sheet and pays a small dividend, but the bottom line is: nobody wants Canadian energy. This may change, though. By the time their LNG projects are built in two years, the tide could change.

PARTIAL BUY
A well managed company and he is looking to purchase it soon. He would consider it a hold and maybe adding to a position at this point.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 28/18, Down 22%) A core holding that is liquids rich as a natural gas producer. The second largest natural gas producer in Canada, producing over 300,000 barrels per day equivalent. They are keeping natural gas production flat, buy growing the liquids output by over 30% this year. This will generate improved cash flow.
WAIT
Holding up not badly in a sad industry. Don't buy right now. Rally this past week has pivoted quite a bit and volume is low. Lot of resistance around $17.50. Avoid right now. Looks as though it's headed down. Can probably pick it up in the $16 range. If it stayed sustainably above $17.60, he'd be a buyer.
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