Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)

59.56

+0.42 (0.71%)

as of Aug 6, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

836 watching

Investor Insights

Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 61 opinions in the last 12 months.

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU), Canada's largest natural gas producer, is currently experiencing mixed reviews from analysts. While many highlight its strong management, solid fundamentals, and the strategic advantages from the LNG Canada project, concerns about capex spending and low prices for natural gas in Western Canada remain pertinent. Analysts express a cautious optimism, noting the potential for future price appreciation as LNG capacities ramp up. The stock has shown a consistent trading range, suggesting it may be a suitable buy at lower points within this range, but there is skepticism regarding near-term performance. The general sentiment reflects a waiting game as many investors anticipate stronger natural gas prices and believe that TOU will eventually benefit from long-term structural shifts in the energy market.

Consensus

Hold

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

CNE, CNE

PARTIAL BUY

A well managed company and he is looking to purchase it soon. He would consider it a hold and maybe adding to a position at this point.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 28/18, Down 22%) A core holding that is liquids rich as a natural gas producer. The second largest natural gas producer in Canada, producing over 300,000 barrels per day equivalent. They are keeping natural gas production flat, buy growing the liquids output by over 30% this year. This will generate improved cash flow.

WAIT

Holding up not badly in a sad industry. Don't buy right now. Rally this past week has pivoted quite a bit and volume is low. Lot of resistance around $17.50. Avoid right now. Looks as though it's headed down. Can probably pick it up in the $16 range. If it stayed sustainably above $17.60, he'd be a buyer.

TOP PICK

A nat. gas producer, the premium company. They are moving more towards liquids. It has an excellent balance sheet. A year from now they will be able to raise the dividend yet again. It has a lot of free funds flowing. He has a target of $24 in one year. (Analysts’ price target is $26.96)

WATCH

One of the top 5 mid-cap great western Canadian companies. He bought ARC instead. TOU isn't over-dividending. Going to be almost 30% LNG going forward. You'd want some sort of technical bounce before going in. (Analysts’ price target is $27.00)

BUY

It is one of his favourite names. The liquids will go up a little this summer. They are talking about 300 BOEs this year. This company is one of the largest he covers. 2% yield. It is the cheapest he has ever seen for one of these companies. Book is $28 and it got to $20. Below $18 it is a table pounding buy. This is a name you want own at under 20% debt.

COMMENT

Too big to be taken over, except by a major, and it's quite independent, so that's a very low chance. Pure gas play, well run, profitable, has growth. Chart is pretty good for an energy stock. But valuations are still extremely low. It's in upper 5% of names, but whole group is out of favour. It will be a long process to make money.

BUY

Natural gas producer. It is a top pick on his action alert buy list. You get a dividend yield. They are moving to add more liquids. They are talking about having more cash flow. They may add to their dividend or to stock buy backs.

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 08/18, Down 8%) One of the biggest gas producers in Canada. He is surprised it has been as stable as it has. It has done a good job with hedging and market diversification. Still a core holding.

STRONG BUY

It is the classic premier story. They are doing over $4 a share in cash flow. Liquids volumes are increasing. It is on his action alert buy list. (Analysts’ price target is $34.00)

COMMENT

He is not enamored with natural gas right now. He feels management is able to beat expectations, which should allow them to get re-rated going forward by the analysts.

COMMENT

All energy stocks have been hammered. TOU has good managers. It's cheap at 17x PE, but low ROE and missed a recent quarter. Their saving grace is their balance sheet. TOU is on the list of strategic acquisition for the big players.

BUY

Tourmaline vs. Vermillion TOU is well-managed. Natural gas has enjoyed nice pop lately. He likes VET for their acquisitions, because they can access an international price on oil (not the much-lower WCS), and have seen strong growth in recent years as the valuation has decreased. Balance sheet is solid. He predicts WTI will settle at $60 and the WCS differential will narrow.

BUY

Management are significant shareholders of the company. Debt is only 18%. This summer was the one time you could buy this one under book value. You buy the assets at a 25% discount to what it cost them to build it. They are moving more towards liquids and building facilities for them. (Guest's target: $34.00)

BUY

Need to be careful on the gas recovery. It is primarily a weather trade. If you are bullish on gas, this is a solid name.

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Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO)