
TSE:TECK.B
This summary was created by AI, based on 10 opinions in the last 12 months.
Teck Resources has garnered mixed opinions among experts following its merger with Anglo American. Many analysts view this merger favorably, asserting that it significantly positions Teck as a notable player in the global copper market, particularly benefiting from increasing copper demand driven by technologies like AI. However, there are concerns about execution risk, especially regarding the ongoing issues with the QB2 mine. Some experts suggest waiting for potential stock dips post-merger announcement before investing, while others believe that holding current shares might be wise as the merger could lead to a more robust financial outlook. The stock has recently broken out of a long-term downtrend, possibly influenced by this takeover offer. Overall, while the future looks promising amidst the turmoil, a certain level of caution remains prudent due to market volatility and execution uncertainties.
They made the most compelling talk for their company at the PDAC show last week. Met Coal markets are rough because of a flood in Australia that caused a run up in coal and then a flood of supply, which has now been used up. They can now complete the Fort Hills project much cheaper than before because of what has happened in the industry. You need to trade commodity stocks for a number of years. Consider it on a pullback and sell if it has another rally.
This has had an absolute killer of a downtrend. Chart shows a little bit of a rounded bottom currently, and that is actually pretty positive. He would look at that is a place to hang your hat on. $6 can be a really important level for it to hold. It really has to catch some momentum before you get some investors, so it is going to be volatile until then.
(Sell?) This has a very strong correlation to the Bloomberg Commodity Index, which has been going down. Have been reducing their cost structure, closing high cost mines. They don’t have any debt maturities until 2017. They have liquidity on the balance sheet for now. Feels this is the wrong time to be panicking and selling. Hopefully things will stabilize and then you can have another look.
Metallurgical coal, copper and lead. The coal and copper goes to China. You really have to believe China is not falling apart. They say they are growing at 6.8%, but everything else tells you they are growing much slower. 49% of their GDP numbers is investment driven. The US GDP after WWII, when they were growing like gangbusters, investment as a percentage of GDP was 25%. There is no way that China can keep going the way they are. Doesn’t think this company is going to grow that quickly.
China is going to continue to slow and it is debatable to say whether the bottom is in in commodities. He has not seen enough to say the long term bottom is in in this stock price. He needs to see a base develop for maybe a year. He would take his money off the table. Maybe cut the position in half and maybe buy back at another low.