
TSE:TECK.B
Demand coming for power, but only so much copper being produced. New mine is operating on track with room to grow capacity. (Chile produces 30% of world's copper, but has little new capacity coming on.) Generates cash and will pay shareholders over time. Copper prices likely to be firm over the next 5 years, and both earnings and the multiple can double. Yield is 0.7%.
A multi-bagger during last commodity cycle. Stocks should start to behave better under the current easing cycle.
Can't have a view on this name without having a view on copper. Emerging view that historical cyclicality of copper may be dampened going forward by secular demand of greening the grid and EVs. But the cyclicality is still there. Global GDP growth is slowing, China's economy remains anemic underlying all the "stimulus".
There will be a time to get behind this name, but not right now. FCX would be his #1 choice, TECK.B #2.
(Note short timeframe.) Always M&A potential, but he kind of hopes not because it would take away some opportunity. Will be way higher in 5 years. Look at the last resource cycle from 2000-2011, this was up 1000%. Great cashflow generator, big dividend payer.
We're in a world of stickier inflation, cuts will be less than we think, economy is pretty robust. If so, these companies have pricing power. AI data centres and EVs need copper.
Not necessarily. All copper stocks have been under pressure, due to copper getting ahead of itself to over $5/pound. Shanghai inventories going higher, sector had a lot of speculative plays. Copper is still a good story. TECK story looks fantastic, now purely positioned as a copper/zinc player, which puts it more in the global arena. Generating cash.
Loves that it's focusing on copper and zinc. Very challenging to build those mines anywhere in the world, so it's great long term. But it is a commodity company, subject to swings in copper and zinc, and that's why he usually stays away from commodity companies.
(Analysts’ price target is $80.00)